TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05a7…42e6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
461
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: UFC, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT41056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 410 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,832Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,832.36
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,351Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,350.65
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,023Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$2,074.09
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,389Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,389.17
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$699Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$699.33
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,330Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$1,892.63
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,015.57
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,883Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,883.33
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$874Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$231.83
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,063Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$1,242.78
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$974Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$360.39
Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$4,499.99
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.76
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$877Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$767.16
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,269Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,268.56
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,714Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,713.54
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,248Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,247.65
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$7,576Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,576
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,960Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+149.9%+$5,936.96
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,521Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$4,244.06
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,622Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,621.88
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,250
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,054Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+120.7%+$7,307.2
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,056.93
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,560Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$4,531.13
Showing 25 of 410 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Manoel Sousa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$104.51
UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Mitch Raposo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$85.82
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,790Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$4,719.57
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$58.14
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Steve Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,698Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,698.24
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gabriel Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$6,765Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$5,624.92
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brendan Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,035Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$2,027.54
UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed John Yannis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,493.8
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jose Henrique · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$7,811Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$6,614.15
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.39
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Grant Dawson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$6,041Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$2,349.14
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Marco Tulio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,426Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,426.26
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jack Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,248.85
UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Quillan Salkilld · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$32.66
UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Steve Erceg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$8,225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$4,626.51
UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Shamil Gaziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.91
UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tai Tuivasa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,613Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,613.11
UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Vince Morales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,824Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,824.23
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Ben Johnston (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Wes Schultz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,702Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$4,016.71
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Paulo Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$7,809Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$3,689.63
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Dominick Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,323Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,548.97
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Kevin Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$1,008.43
All 22 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,469Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$1,335.23
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,224.83
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$510
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,801Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,801.01
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,278Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,277.59
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$676.34
LoL: Team Liquid vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,722Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$1,045.69
LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,245.87
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,232Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+106.6%+$3,445.5
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,053Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$613.18
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,717Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$924.7
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$6,085Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,084.63
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,162.23
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$914Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$914.1
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,042Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+160.4%+$4,880.81
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$8,309Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+52%+$4,319.14
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19,248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,248.1
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$139.3
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$122.36
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22,112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22,112.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.