Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a109ce53202de6f53a7f902bc8271c762f9dd7fc8c52cbb97e7804c8c9309ad

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Iron Wingof Iron Wing, Team Liquid
Resolved: Aug 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $826,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $998,924

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $826,106 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 457 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcd30…f316backed Iron Wing	53c	158,869$84,776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74,092.91	121	59.5%72 W · 49 L	+9.2wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Iron Wing	46c	57,886$26,675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,210.43	1,210	57.1%691 W · 519 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Liquid	53c	27,989$14,879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,879.47	711	43%306 W · 405 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc835…3911backed Team Liquid	51c	25,800$13,077 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,077.45	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed Iron Wing	49c	25,000$12,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,749.99	476	46.4%221 W · 255 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Liquid	60c	20,420$12,276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,275.86	306	67.3%206 W · 100 L	+18.3wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Iron Wing	53c	18,223$9,603 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,619.73	897	41.5%372 W · 525 L	+22.7wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Team Liquid	51c	18,053$9,207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,206.91	122	59.8%73 W · 49 L	+11.6wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Liquid	46c	15,500$7,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,155	198	47%93 W · 105 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Iron Wing	49c	10,143$4,970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,172.86	1,202	59.3%713 W · 489 L	+64.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid	49c	10,000$4,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,850	696	44.5%310 W · 386 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Liquid	44c	10,000$4,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,400	242	46.7%113 W · 129 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Team Liquid	49c	9,966$4,883 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,883.33	410	56.8%233 W · 177 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Iron Wing	52c	9,620$5,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,618.23	175	46.9%82 W · 93 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Liquid	48c	8,918$4,282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,282.36	953	42.2%402 W · 551 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid	52c	8,600$4,451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,451	802	56%449 W · 353 L	+22.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b60…edbebacked Team Liquid	49c	8,190$4,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,013.1	48	37.5%18 W · 30 L	-7.9wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Team Liquid	46c	8,120$3,735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,735.2	265	40.8%108 W · 157 L	-13.3wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Team Liquid	27c	6,855$1,875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,874.92	325	49.8%162 W · 163 L	+23.9wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4f9…0a00backed Team Liquid	53c	6,795$3,601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,601.23	91	58.2%53 W · 38 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Iron Wing	51c	6,726$3,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,325.86	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Liquid	52c	6,508$3,409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,408.7	282	51.8%146 W · 136 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5997…0beebacked Team Liquid	49c	6,135$2,978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,978.16	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Team Liquid	48c	6,007$2,881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,881.01	720	35.1%253 W · 467 L	-24.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d8a…f907backed Team Liquid	48c	6,000$2,898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,897.59	141	36.9%52 W · 89 L	-13.3wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Team Liquid	39c	5,762$2,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,266.55	503	47.1%237 W · 266 L	+14.9wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x818b…c5ebbacked Team Liquid	55c	5,466$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	96	58.3%56 W · 40 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Iron Wing	43c	5,264$2,269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,994.67	476	50.8%242 W · 234 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75e1…a8a1backed Team Liquid	50c	5,025$2,537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,536.72	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-4.5wins	-0.20per pick	50cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x76fc…d3adbacked Team Liquid	46c	5,000$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Iron Wing	26c	4,600$1,210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,389.98	656	25.6%168 W · 488 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadea…b96dbacked Team Liquid	11c	4,551$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.13	73	1.4%1 W · 72 L	-7.1wins	-0.10per pick	11cpaid	-91.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Team Liquid	53c	4,137$2,192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,191.83	466	64.2%299 W · 167 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed Team Liquid	66c	4,135$2,725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,724.91	334	53%177 W · 157 L	+8.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Team Liquid	47c	4,006$1,885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,884.75	303	36.6%111 W · 192 L	-18.4wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Liquid	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,920	536	52.6%282 W · 254 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a5…55d6backed Team Liquid	44c	4,000$1,773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,773.41	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x63bc…4179backed Iron Wing	25c	4,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,999.99	88	34.1%30 W · 58 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Iron Wing	54c	4,000$2,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,839.99	293	48.5%142 W · 151 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed Team Liquid	65c	4,000$2,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,619.99	537	58.8%316 W · 221 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed Iron Wing	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,079.98	304	52.3%159 W · 145 L	+20.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c9c…e006backed Team Liquid	66c	3,766$2,474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,473.92	226	63.3%143 W · 83 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa21b…e4e4backed Team Liquid	52c	3,764$1,961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,960.98	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-4.1wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd99b…50bebacked Team Liquid	49c	3,641$1,788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,787.66	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57f1…5ecfbacked Team Liquid	49c	3,600$1,764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,764	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Liquid	39c	3,600$1,408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,408	537	64.4%346 W · 191 L	+26.5wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Liquid	56c	3,445$1,921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,921.19	508	50.8%258 W · 250 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Iron Wing	38c	3,272$1,251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,020.5	319	36.7%117 W · 202 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedfc…b7b1backed Iron Wing	31c	3,211$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,210.86	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5952…8a5ebacked Team Liquid	49c	3,075$1,504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,503.75	96	43.8%42 W · 54 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Team Liquid	50c	3,022$1,503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,502.75	614	56%344 W · 270 L	+13.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8495…550ebacked Team Liquid	51c	2,898$1,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,486.96	90	52.2%47 W · 43 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Team Liquid	49c	2,897$1,407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,406.79	377	45.9%173 W · 204 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba03…0486backed Team Liquid	52c	2,836$1,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,474.73	72	34.7%25 W · 47 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8466…c1b3backed Team Liquid	8c	2,719$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.17	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Team Liquid	64c	2,664$1,705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,704.64	142	58.5%83 W · 59 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a93…8e36backed Iron Wing	72c	2,632$1,905 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$726.83	45	62.2%28 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6129…0807backed Team Liquid	52c	2,580$1,343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,343.4	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid	58c	2,555$1,484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,483.62	1,066	57%608 W · 458 L	+52.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Team Liquid	52c	2,530$1,312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,311.79	166	41%68 W · 98 L	-10.8wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked Iron Wing	39c	2,506$971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,534.65	310	52.6%163 W · 147 L	+15.3wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Team Liquid	4c	2,500$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	370	18.9%70 W · 300 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-24%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Liquid	49c	2,453$1,202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,202.28	357	37%132 W · 225 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked Team Liquid	65c	2,450$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	120	60.8%73 W · 47 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed Team Liquid	48c	2,370$1,138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,137.6	156	53.8%84 W · 72 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed Iron Wing	55c	2,364$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,063.64	43	65.1%28 W · 15 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2eea…1a4cbacked Iron Wing	72c	2,325$1,681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$643.44	128	58.6%75 W · 53 L	+10.4wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6b8…149bbacked Team Liquid	48c	2,300$1,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,110.81	102	45.1%46 W · 56 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…6427backed Team Liquid	77c	2,291$1,759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,758.73	77	70.1%54 W · 23 L	+9.3wins	+0.12per pick	58cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbf1a…83eabacked Team Liquid	50c	2,100$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce7d…898ebacked Iron Wing	78c	2,077$1,619 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$458.51	55	72.7%40 W · 15 L	+8.8wins	+0.16per pick	57cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Iron Wing	47c	2,072$971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,101.52	885	39.7%351 W · 534 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x024a…35a3backed Team Liquid	51c	2,060$1,051 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050.6	40	65%26 W · 14 L	+3.8wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf897…8453backed Team Liquid	46c	2,050$943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$942.81	81	46.9%38 W · 43 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8db…ba5fbacked Team Liquid	67c	2,036$1,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,373.84	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Team Liquid	50c	2,030$1,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,006.75	315	47.6%150 W · 165 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8f…4a0bbacked Team Liquid	47c	2,025$952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$952	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65fe…c200backed Team Liquid	63c	2,018$1,268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,268.11	65	64.6%42 W · 23 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a06…52c2backed Team Liquid	48c	2,010$965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$964.8	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-2.9wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed Team Liquid	50c	2,000$996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$995.94	149	43.6%65 W · 84 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6111…4742backed Iron Wing	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+3.7wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe46d…7e4dbacked Team Liquid	46c	2,000$910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910	70	55.7%39 W · 31 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Liquid	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	378	11.1%42 W · 336 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x642d…e9b0backed Team Liquid	15c	1,998$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.65	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Liquid	53c	1,982$1,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,051.58	966	45.1%436 W · 530 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe37e…6d97backed Iron Wing	50c	1,982$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$981.57	61	63.9%39 W · 22 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Iron Wing	30c	1,954$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,363.58	200	30.5%61 W · 139 L	-14.6wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb69…cfd1backed Iron Wing	41c	1,930$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,130.07	303	56.4%171 W · 132 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Team Liquid	47c	1,888$896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$896.24	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Liquid	68c	1,799$1,216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,215.82	935	46.4%434 W · 501 L	-15.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid	45c	1,717$767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$766.99	1,521	37.9%576 W · 945 L	-57.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbeef…92b7backed Iron Wing	33c	1,700$563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,137	150	54.7%82 W · 68 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Team Liquid	49c	1,687$831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$830.72	188	44.7%84 W · 104 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Liquid	46c	1,607$739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$738.99	122	63.1%77 W · 45 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe59f…0d08backed Iron Wing	47c	1,592$753 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$838.47	211	55.5%117 W · 94 L	+17.3wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf8c2…f0e5backed Team Liquid	61c	1,510$925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$925.5	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	-4.2wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-30%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7045…81b5backed Iron Wing	73c	1,507$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$407	53	69.8%37 W · 16 L	+9.1wins	+0.17per pick	53cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Team Liquid	48c	1,500$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	698	35.2%246 W · 452 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0cc…c8ddbacked Team Liquid	3c	1,500$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.5	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Team Liquid	51c	1,500$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.99	188	30.9%58 W · 130 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group StageTeam Liquid won
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
First Blood in Game 2?Iron Wing won
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Iron Wing (+1.5)Iron Wing won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event