Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79040e593972da4143423e82ab63cee7df6f39a5a0d6084854977fb9d8c52881
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Iron Wing, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,458,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,881,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,458,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,017 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Iron Wing | 51c | 310,057$159,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159,081.8 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Iron Wing | 46c | 170,004$77,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,660.42 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…7c30backed Team Liquid | 52c | 75,450$39,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,059.99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…edbebacked Team Liquid | 53c | 65,808$34,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,811.34 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed Team Liquid | 44c | 59,415$26,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,987.82 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 52,682$29,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,015.97 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid | 43c | 52,080$22,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,445.49 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Iron Wing | 39c | 50,000$19,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,699.96 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…3c52backed Team Liquid | 54c | 38,169$20,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,453.49 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Iron Wing | 65c | 38,000$24,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,570.98 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Iron Wing | 37c | 37,414$13,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,844.37 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed Team Liquid | 51c | 36,800$18,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,188.95 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…2978backed Team Liquid | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,799.95 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Iron Wing | 50c | 25,862$13,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,014.62 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Liquid | 48c | 25,789$12,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,359.17 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid | 48c | 25,000$12,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,900 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Team Liquid | 56c | 24,381$13,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,731 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Team Liquid | 48c | 20,500$9,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,762.5 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1896…a7d6backed Iron Wing | 49c | 20,112$9,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,855.11 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 20,039$9,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,089.46 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Iron Wing | 46c | 19,574$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.78 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Team Liquid | 38c | 18,220$6,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,359.43 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Iron Wing | 20c | 17,818$3,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,503.51 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Liquid | 51c | 17,549$8,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,556.63 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Liquid | 50c | 17,221$8,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,524.95 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 16,970$8,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,812.43 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…9853backed Team Liquid | 61c | 16,568$10,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,499.93 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…a8a1backed Team Liquid | 60c | 15,873$9,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,367.18 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 15,312$8,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,890.53 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Iron Wing | 46c | 15,000$6,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,853.13 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Iron Wing | 49c | 14,662$7,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,141.45 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Iron Wing | 52c | 14,246$7,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,367.86 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Iron Wing | 37c | 13,931$5,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,087.77 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Liquid | 59c | 13,470$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,570.2 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 13,431$6,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,566.88 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…b7b1backed Team Liquid | 50c | 13,121$6,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,583.86 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Iron Wing | 48c | 13,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,239.97 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Iron Wing | 47c | 12,914$6,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,125.45 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Iron Wing | 41c | 12,537$5,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,114.96 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed Iron Wing | 46c | 12,079$5,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,509.48 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb99c…7e96backed Team Liquid | 46c | 11,655$5,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,342.8 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Iron Wing | 34c | 11,000$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed Iron Wing | 44c | 10,927$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…0e8fbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 10,500$5,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,308.91 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Iron Wing | 52c | 10,323$5,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,350.65 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Iron Wing | 43c | 10,060$4,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,326 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked Team Liquid | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Liquid | 50c | 9,993$5,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,955.47 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked Iron Wing | 46c | 9,979$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550.33 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…81b5backed Iron Wing | 40c | 9,653$3,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,833.8 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +9.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Iron Wing | 47c | 9,566$4,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,495.51 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…d27cbacked Team Liquid | 29c | 8,966$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,344.02 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Iron Wing | 44c | 8,790$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,880 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Iron Wing | 38c | 8,341$3,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,208.92 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Iron Wing | 36c | 8,329$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2124…d9c3backed Team Liquid | 54c | 8,050$4,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,703 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Iron Wing | 51c | 8,000$4,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 7,914$3,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,328.01 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x847f…459ebacked Team Liquid | 48c | 7,880$3,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,097.59 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked Iron Wing | 11c | 7,750$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.87 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Liquid | 50c | 7,707$3,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,853.3 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Liquid | 57c | 7,441$4,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,187.36 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…83edbacked Team Liquid | 28c | 7,100$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,112 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Liquid | 67c | 6,565$4,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.49 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Team Liquid | 56c | 6,466$3,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,851.68 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Team Liquid | 60c | 6,399$3,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,532.11 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a4…6c3ebacked Iron Wing | 35c | 6,369$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.08 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 6,200$3,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,117.5 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked Team Liquid | 49c | 6,075$2,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128.25 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Liquid | 50c | 6,045$3,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003.16 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35f8…daa1backed Team Liquid | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Iron Wing | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…6136backed Team Liquid | 38c | 6,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,690 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd7…fbc9backed Team Liquid | 50c | 5,938$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,961.52 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…b7dabacked Team Liquid | 53c | 5,860$3,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,733.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Iron Wing | 43c | 5,763$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.99 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Liquid | 57c | 5,621$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.68 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…f2f9backed Iron Wing | 52c | 5,602$2,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912.97 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 5,564$2,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,861.61 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…f46ebacked Iron Wing | 46c | 5,555$2,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Iron Wing | 54c | 5,550$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7876…a162backed Team Liquid | 62c | 5,549$3,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.03 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed Team Liquid | 70c | 5,501$3,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.8 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Iron Wing | 36c | 5,446$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.87 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Iron Wing | 52c | 5,415$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.29 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Team Liquid | 57c | 5,404$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304.3 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Iron Wing | 46c | 5,292$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.19 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 5,247$3,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.28 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Iron Wing | 46c | 5,193$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.1 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Iron Wing | 46c | 5,124$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.81 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Iron Wing | 36c | 5,033$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.83 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Team Liquid | 50c | 4,938$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.17 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Iron Wing | 51c | 4,901$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.51 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…46e1backed Iron Wing | 46c | 4,842$2,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227.22 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Iron Wing | 42c | 4,811$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.42 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce7d…898ebacked Team Liquid | 46c | 4,696$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,532.16 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Iron Wing | 51c | 4,693$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.83 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa5…cd80backed Team Liquid | 49c | 4,692$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.75 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerIron Wing won
- Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- First Blood in Game 2?Iron Wing won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Iron Wing (+1.5)Iron Wing won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.