TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x75e1…a8a1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 51 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-47.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$787Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$787.29
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$922Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$390.51
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$8,731Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,730.55
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,517Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,516.98
Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$888.46
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$884Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$884.39
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$9,506Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+67%+$6,367.18
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$647Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$647.12
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,628Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,628.2
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,537Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,536.72
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,002.78
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,117.36
Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$508.2
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,482Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$3,112.7
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$514.5
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,927Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$2,011.06
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,625Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,624.74
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,455Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$993.61
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,059Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,059.18
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$946Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$946.14
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$654.24
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,016
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,124.37
All 23 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ENCE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Abacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$458.86
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$8,494Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$5,675.45
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,062.39
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,050Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$1,715.4
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.8
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,259Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,258.6
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$486.4
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,247Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,436.64
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,028Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$3,937.56
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,687Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,686.96
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$570.95
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.15
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,205Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$2,787.83
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,983Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$3,322
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs K27 (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Abacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$596.4
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$252
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,857Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$803.4
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,365.2
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$523.81
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moellerbacked Marvin Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,577Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,576.84
Sion: Michael Zhu vs Thiago Cigarranbacked Michael Zhu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,421Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,421.03
Astana: Aziz Dougaz vs Hayato Matsuokabacked Hayato Matsuoka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,677Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$723.71
ITF W15 Tianjin 2 Women: Chengyiyi Yuan vs Thasaporn Naklobacked Chengyiyi Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$195
ITF M25 Asuncion Men: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Joaquin Aguilar Cardozobacked Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$239.36
ITF M25 Koksijde Men: Lars Goran Verwerft vs Michael Geertsbacked Michael Geerts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,105.55
Hamburg: Matej Dodig vs Marvin Moellerbacked Marvin Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$315
ITF M25 Muttenz Men: Luca Staeheli vs Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburgbacked Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderibacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,269.35
Estoril Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tiago Torresbacked Tiago Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,307Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$853.2
Palermo: Alessandra Mazzola vs Dalila Spiteribacked Dalila Spiteri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$294
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,148.15
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,541.76
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,243Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$1,801.71
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$6,286Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$2,314.19
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$778Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$778.24
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,508Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$450.34
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,974Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$1,980.31
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,156.57
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,479Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,478.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,374.02
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.