Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Muttenz Men: Luca Staeheli vs Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c56f4071003e67533afc6fc51bae311e6d77bbbcd27f12f71e7ad98becf6f85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luca Staeheliof Luca Staeheli, Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Luca Staeheli | 78c | 7,219$5,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.31 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 67c | 3,036$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.14 | 1,672 | 50.1%837 W · 835 L | +30.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Luca Staeheli | 38c | 2,660$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.33 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 68c | 2,206$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 35c | 1,504$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.75 | 2,821 | 39.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L | -82.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 68c | 817.65$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 1,773 | 48.6%861 W · 912 L | +28.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 15c | 788.25$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.96 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Luca Staeheli | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 20c | 556.04$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Luca Staeheli | 64c | 470.6$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.81 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Luca Staeheli | 75c | 458.12$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.35 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 69c | 428$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.32 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Luca Staeheli | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Luca Staeheli | 67c | 336.59$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.6 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 37c | 326.04$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 151 | 15.9%24 W · 127 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 32c | 323.97$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.51 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 203 | 51.2%104 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 66c | 276.83$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.1 | 1,073 | 60.4%648 W · 425 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Luca Staeheli | 70c | 260$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Luca Staeheli | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Luca Staeheli | 62c | 238.34$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 805 | 58.6%472 W · 333 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 31c | 210.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 40c | 194.24$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Luca Staeheli | 79c | 174.4$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Luca Staeheli | 79c | 174.37$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 857 | 41.7%357 W · 500 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 47c | 165.69$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.09 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Luca Staeheli | 60c | 162.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 300 | 42.3%127 W · 173 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…a8a1backed Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 35c | 160$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Luca Staeheli | 77c | 159$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 13c | 127.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 792 | 49.1%389 W · 403 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Luca Staeheli | 50c | 124.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.43 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed Luca Staeheli | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 68c | 107.94$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 433 | 45%195 W · 238 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 45c | 104.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3,412 | 39.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L | -11.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Luca Staeheli | 65c | 98.81$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 50c | 89.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 68c | 87.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 787 | 57.1%449 W · 338 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 50c | 74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2,142 | 37.3%799 W · 1,343 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 71c | 67.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 1,232 | 65.4%806 W · 426 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Luca Staeheli | 76c | 64.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 316 | 54.4%172 W · 144 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…573bbacked Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961b…dff4backed Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.5wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b06…c9f9backed Luca Staeheli | 57c | 56.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4815…8ba4backed Luca Staeheli | 60c | 55.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 64c | 53.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 201 | 63.2%127 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Luca Staeheli | 74c | 51.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 172 | 60.5%104 W · 68 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Luca Staeheli | 65c | 42.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Luca Staeheli | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1,545 | 51.5%795 W · 750 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4d…a427backed Luca Staeheli | 65c | 39.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,001 | 38.4%384 W · 617 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 554 | 37.5%208 W · 346 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 67c | 38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Luca Staeheli | 78c | 37.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 184 | 59.8%110 W · 74 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Luca Staeheli | 69c | 33.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 207 | 72%149 W · 58 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Luca Staeheli | 59c | 32.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 64c | 31.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Luca Staeheli | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…1ddfbacked Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed Luca Staeheli | 59c | 20.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Luca Staeheli | 52c | 19.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 742 | 46.4%344 W · 398 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Luca Staeheli | 80c | 18.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.