TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b06…c9f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT5048%24 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF M15 Bucharest 3 Men: Cezar Stefan Bentzel vs Lenny Petitbacked Cezar Stefan Bentzel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.95
ITF M15 Hurghada 6 Men: Vansh Bisht vs Prasad Ingalebacked Prasad Ingale · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$531.45
US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$546.09
Winston-Salem Open: Martin Landaluce vs Mattia Belluccibacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Juan Manuel La Serna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.59
ITF W50 Prague Women: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Alena Kovackovabacked Alicia Herrero Linana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs Bejlekbacked Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$37.73
Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$442.94
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernetbacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Roehampton: Lui Maxted vs Patrick Bradybacked Patrick Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.68
Set 1 Winner: Molleker vs Jianubacked Jianu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$62.92
Prague 2: Juan Bautista Torres vs Chun-Hsin Tsengbacked Juan Bautista Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.21
Kingston: Garrett Johns vs Paulo Dos Santosbacked Garrett Johns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$199.23
Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Florent Baxbacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$71.75
Prague 2: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Radu Mihai Papoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+140.8%+$208.43
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstatbacked Petr Brunclik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Prague 2: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Hynek Bartonbacked Hynek Barton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Cincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$103.02
Set 1 Winner: Ribeiro vs Nagalbacked Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.49
Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moellerbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26.69
Set 1 Winner: Kumstat vs Moellerbacked Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$28.75
Astana: Aziz Dougaz vs Hayato Matsuokabacked Aziz Dougaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.49
ITF M25 Muttenz Men: Luca Staeheli vs Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburgbacked Luca Staeheli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$24.37
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.99
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.