TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernet

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lorenzo Giustinoof Lorenzo Giustino, Henry Bernet
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$264,040
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$305,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,040 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Lorenzo Giustino53c40,623$21,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,070.748,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Henry Bernet34c26,347$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,00073239.5%289 W · 443 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Henry Bernet47c15,000$7,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,05063447.9%304 W · 330 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc293…fac3backed Henry Bernet55c14,545$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0008056.3%45 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Lorenzo Giustino59c9,966$5,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,104.7111,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Lorenzo Giustino72c9,344$6,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,623.2235244.6%157 W · 195 L-20.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Lorenzo Giustino54c8,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,68015348.4%74 W · 79 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Lorenzo Giustino49c7,588$3,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,875.1362956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked Henry Bernet59c6,780$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00052661.2%322 W · 204 L+1.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Henry Bernet46c6,741$3,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,100.8575046.8%351 W · 399 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Henry Bernet48c6,462$3,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,085.941,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lorenzo Giustino72c3,643$2,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.668,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Henry Bernet29c3,186$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.114,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Lorenzo Giustino60c3,025$1,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.813,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Henry Bernet50c2,929$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.1721147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lorenzo Giustino54c2,893$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.18,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Lorenzo Giustino70c2,891$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.111,31843.6%574 W · 744 L-23.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc50b…672dbacked Henry Bernet55c2,628$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.09966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Lorenzo Giustino68c2,461$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.641,25756.6%711 W · 546 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Lorenzo Giustino60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.1837557.6%216 W · 159 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Henry Bernet35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70062345.4%283 W · 340 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc357…3684backed Henry Bernet41c1,422$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.717345.2%33 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Henry Bernet39c1,341$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.6151344.4%228 W · 285 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…38c8backed Lorenzo Giustino63c1,330$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.892487.5%21 W · 3 L+5.2wins+0.22per pick66cpaid+31.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Henry Bernet47c1,286$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011646.6%54 W · 62 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7618…24c6backed Lorenzo Giustino53c1,194$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.784835.4%17 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xafee…881ebacked Henry Bernet50c1,184$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.516245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Lorenzo Giustino51c1,072$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.7735545.4%161 W · 194 L+1.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Lorenzo Giustino48c1,066$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.044,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Lorenzo Giustino53c1,065$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.611,25238.8%486 W · 766 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf03b…3ba1backed Henry Bernet48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017944.1%79 W · 100 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Henry Bernet54c1,027$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55011435.1%40 W · 74 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2de2…11a9backed Lorenzo Giustino41c975.61$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.619547.4%45 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x100c…1c2cbacked Lorenzo Giustino50c973.78$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.893652.8%19 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed Lorenzo Giustino52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5424052.5%126 W · 114 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Henry Bernet50c946.34$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.1712752.8%67 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9767…1a16backed Lorenzo Giustino54c905.82$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.6835450.8%180 W · 174 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Henry Bernet43c894.99$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.6173738.8%286 W · 451 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1602…fbb0backed Henry Bernet46c869.57$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003060%18 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+47.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8888…3d5cbacked Lorenzo Giustino36c662.55$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.9428652.8%151 W · 135 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7545…c10dbacked Henry Bernet34c631.91$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.451428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-42.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Lorenzo Giustino52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.921,67250.1%837 W · 835 L+30.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Henry Bernet34c568$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.124,88238.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L-17.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Lorenzo Giustino55c559.87$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.9414555.9%81 W · 64 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x25bf…ef3dbacked Henry Bernet51c552.97$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.3722150.7%112 W · 109 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Lorenzo Giustino51c548.21$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.171,56340%625 W · 938 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Lorenzo Giustino62c547.74$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.8359738.2%228 W · 369 L-27.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Lorenzo Giustino53c540.62$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.292,82139.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L-82.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf93d…fc9bbacked Henry Bernet53c520.19$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.722352%116 W · 107 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x414f…2f42backed Henry Bernet48c513.25$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.36955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Lorenzo Giustino49c510.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.965657.1%32 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Lorenzo Giustino59c500.02$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4410446.2%48 W · 56 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc8f4…6794backed Henry Bernet68c497.81$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.5135153.8%189 W · 162 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0210…4debbacked Lorenzo Giustino48c441.78$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.735360.4%32 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Henry Bernet46c436.13$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.85,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf092…5749backed Henry Bernet65c423.8$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.661450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe75…5af2backed Lorenzo Giustino58c410.77$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.6210562.9%66 W · 39 L+11.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xbab2…9decbacked Henry Bernet37c410$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.727551.3%141 W · 134 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Henry Bernet58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23214858.8%87 W · 61 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Henry Bernet64c393.51$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9924759.5%147 W · 100 L+19.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x02f0…9bb3backed Henry Bernet25c367.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3317136.3%62 W · 109 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f3…092fbacked Lorenzo Giustino53c367.6$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.7711147.7%53 W · 58 L-10.5wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe004…d87cbacked Lorenzo Giustino66c361.44$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.8915060%90 W · 60 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Henry Bernet35c351$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.234,58448.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L+35.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Henry Bernet46c350.88$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.961,00154.9%550 W · 451 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7db…d23abacked Lorenzo Giustino49c343.9$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.46556.9%37 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c82…6f49backed Lorenzo Giustino46c323.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.771050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Henry Bernet45c323.29$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4834145.2%154 W · 187 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2802…347dbacked Henry Bernet25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7515733.1%52 W · 105 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84b1…51b8backed Henry Bernet9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276527.7%18 W · 47 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe846…252bbacked Henry Bernet9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2713438.8%52 W · 82 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9a…d10fbacked Henry Bernet25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7514936.9%55 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+1.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xceb0…9fdbbacked Henry Bernet25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5818…5269backed Henry Bernet30c299.33$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.88933.7%30 W · 59 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Henry Bernet48c293.93$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.029,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Lorenzo Giustino49c292.69$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.272,14454.2%1,162 W · 982 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed Henry Bernet41c268.29$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11013822.5%31 W · 107 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Henry Bernet52c266.57$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.562,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf816…0433backed Henry Bernet39c261.53$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.972850%14 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Henry Bernet54c260.12$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14023846.2%110 W · 128 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Lorenzo Giustino65c252.18$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1780558.6%472 W · 333 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35d…102abacked Lorenzo Giustino61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.97445.9%34 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Lorenzo Giustino57c242$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.435,37748.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L+16.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf65e…e5e6backed Henry Bernet50c220$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105660.7%34 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Lorenzo Giustino51c218.37$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.452,69647.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L+46.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Lorenzo Giustino46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3919052.6%100 W · 90 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b39…1f68backed Lorenzo Giustino52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9612746.5%59 W · 68 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Lorenzo Giustino65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704746.8%22 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bf9…ad6ebacked Lorenzo Giustino52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967245.8%33 W · 39 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5abe…d360backed Henry Bernet24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488840.9%36 W · 52 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1c7…d291backed Lorenzo Giustino51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9810845.4%49 W · 59 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4041…60f0backed Lorenzo Giustino52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968530.6%26 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8421…4e30backed Henry Bernet25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508027.5%22 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8206…4826backed Lorenzo Giustino52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Lorenzo Giustino58c198.79$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.161,95843.7%856 W · 1,102 L-21.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Lorenzo Giustino49c197.95$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.641,01336.5%370 W · 643 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Henry Bernet54c196.3$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10644051.6%227 W · 213 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf17a…b0b7backed Lorenzo Giustino67c195.39$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8210677.4%82 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a51…1e9fbacked Lorenzo Giustino50c195.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6221842.2%92 W · 126 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x55a8…e802backed Lorenzo Giustino53c186.23$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1136342.1%153 W · 210 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.