TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe1c7…d291

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
252
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: AI, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category AI at 56 out of 100; worst Commodities at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT10945.9%50 W · 59 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 109 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Augsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Juan Manuel La Serna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$67.2
Winston-Salem Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Winston-Salem Open: Roman Safiullin vs Hugo Grenierbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Elmer Moellerbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.73
Monterrey Open: Lilli Tagger vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.6
Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.8
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Anna Bondar vs En-Shuo Liangbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$200.1
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Anna Bondar vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$75
Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$93
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Sebastian Gorzny vs Marc Polmansbacked Marc Polmans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.95
Prague 2: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Jan Kumstatbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Cancun: Moez Echargui vs Moise Kouamebacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marta Kostyukbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$57
Cancun: Vit Kopriva vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.7
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$62.39
Kingston: Pedro Martinez vs Daniil Glinkabacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Taylor Fritz Win the Cincinnati Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$74.4
Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$70.8
Prague 2: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Norbert Gombosbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$53.2
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Jessica Pieri vs Marie Mettrauxbacked Jessica Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$32.4
Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$107.19
Showing 25 of 109 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT3650%18 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.85
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.8
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$61.6
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$128
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$93.8
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+228.9%+$139.2
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.4
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+318.1%+$182.59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$38.4
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.3
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+215.8%+$102.49
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+187.4%+$65.19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$263.67
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.99
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$315.85
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.06
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$95.5
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 4 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$274
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$184.5
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$75
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.4
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$99
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$61.1
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.39
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$88
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.5
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.83
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.19
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$76.15
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$35
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$55.9
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+118.4%+$135.55
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+46%+$62.36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.04
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.61
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.7
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+50%+$219.9
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$52
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+491.7%+$83.1
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.82
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.99
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$329
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$385
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Will Spain be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$130
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$14
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.94
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.8
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$44.8
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,464Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$436
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$84.46
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$43.65
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$17.51
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.46
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.69
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$165.3
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+37%+$108
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$294.81
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42%+$74
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+25.7%+$81.04
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$274
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+54%+$108.7
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$34.2
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.6
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$57.1
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.28
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-48.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$140
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.4
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$98
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+34.5%+$100
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-49.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$252
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$39.6
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Reddit say "OpenAI" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+126.1%+$339.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Kia Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Titansbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.