TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,120,653
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,106,090

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,120,653 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,718 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Cavaliers45c1,277,343$579,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579,490.1316841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Knicks54c1,035,006$563,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471,952.899745.4%44 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Cavaliers47c619,999$289,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289,199.3817251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Knicks54c408,715$219,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189,008.8629245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Cavaliers44c390,053$171,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,623.5487451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Cavaliers45c343,522$155,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155,039.821040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Knicks53c321,907$170,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151,296.3672648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed Cavaliers47c319,149$150,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150,0006243.5%27 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Knicks57c288,654$163,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124,983.3385742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Knicks61c250,418$151,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,716.8426753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Knicks57c217,958$124,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93,239.5815644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Cavaliers46c200,383$92,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,176.3211137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Cavaliers6c170,145$10,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,29225925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Cavaliers44c160,722$71,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,298.785940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4900…4a72backed Cavaliers47c128,331$60,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,689.255940.7%24 W · 35 L-12.5wins-0.21per pick62cpaid-41.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa2b9…ce00backed Knicks54c111,181$60,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,143.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Cavaliers46c100,000$46,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,999.953844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Cavaliers46c99,999$46,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,288.5314538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Knicks54c95,030$51,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,713.848763.2%55 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x127c…7456backed Knicks55c93,136$51,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,803.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…8cc2backed Knicks54c91,158$49,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,932.61650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5bc…2c49backed Cavaliers1c77,893$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4571414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-60%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Knicks54c73,836$39,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,964.5848352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks53c70,000$37,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,90018651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Knicks78c66,243$51,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,369.141,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Knicks55c60,195$33,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,088.841,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Cavaliers46c60,000$27,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,599.823036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Knicks54c58,000$31,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,63017553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2106…4deabacked Cavaliers8c56,732$4,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,685.191442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbba9…f183backed Cavaliers32c55,666$17,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,691.932227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+40.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks53c51,230$27,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,078.151,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Knicks56c51,000$28,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,459.9327424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Knicks79c50,346$39,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,572.6436954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc8c…273fbacked Cavaliers0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504136.6%15 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Knicks56c50,000$28,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,999.8934456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Knicks54c50,000$27,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,999.8129055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Cavaliers44c49,958$21,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,981.522240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Knicks54c46,296$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,296.310158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2200…2640backed Cavaliers32c40,700$12,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,887.991250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Knicks53c40,625$21,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,047.3321549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Knicks54c40,000$21,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,399.996651.5%34 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks62c39,570$24,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,868.8364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x979f…4032backed Knicks54c37,037$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,037.022050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0159…db47backed Cavaliers0c36,417$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50614.9%3 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6d…08a8backed Knicks54c35,185$19,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,185.191435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Cavaliers47c32,153$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0009945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Cavaliers0c31,595$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.195213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Cavaliers0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309618.8%18 W · 78 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe34b…3b60backed Cavaliers46c30,000$13,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,8001346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Knicks54c27,778$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,777.789725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7aa1…e126backed Knicks54c27,777$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,777.421369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf165…2194backed Knicks55c26,917$14,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,146.173644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Knicks56c26,731$14,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,831.6762347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Knicks53c25,000$13,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,749.893467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x479b…cdb1backed Cavaliers34c22,465$7,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,659.381136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+67.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7f…6591backed Cavaliers44c22,400$9,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,8566328.6%18 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Knicks56c22,291$12,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,791.0711654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Cavaliers47c22,233$10,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,449.5838143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Knicks51c21,800$11,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,579.992458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd163…1428backed Cavaliers5c21,339$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-62%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97b1…1f26backed Cavaliers2c21,096$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-72.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c3f…75cfbacked Knicks54c20,600$11,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,4763100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+127.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60cc…ff9bbacked Knicks54c20,367$11,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,2671442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers39c20,278$7,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,882.469848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…37cdbacked Knicks54c20,253$10,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,263.821947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6101…23bcbacked Cavaliers44c20,000$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,8005453.7%29 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked Knicks54c19,815$10,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,114.811384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+52.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1103…bb2fbacked Cavaliers16c19,166$3,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,133.122050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Knicks54c19,008$10,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,743.662128.6%6 W · 15 L-5.1wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers44c18,520$8,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,218.594,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…1133backed Knicks56c18,077$10,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,994.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Knicks55c18,018$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,018.0220352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Knicks71c17,999$12,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,135.7518151.4%93 W · 88 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0325…01bcbacked Knicks57c17,544$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,543.922661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Cavaliers35c17,485$6,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,078.768648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Cavaliers49c17,357$8,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,512.8184443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Cavaliers6c17,053$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10011034.5%38 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers46c17,014$7,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,823.564,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Knicks52c16,537$8,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,908.7890650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3561…d87cbacked Cavaliers46c16,304$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Cavaliers32c16,000$5,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,19020155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Knicks56c15,462$8,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,822.032045%9 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Knicks54c15,131$8,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,946.6815140.4%61 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Cavaliers46c15,000$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,9002,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Cavaliers35c14,818$5,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,229.4359653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks60c14,559$8,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,816.5452150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d47…d0a2backed Knicks55c14,334$7,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,450.14100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Cavaliers47c14,043$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6006144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Cavaliers43c14,000$6,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,019.9758951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Cavaliers5c13,874$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.961417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a0c…3f90backed Knicks71c13,772$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,971.935438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Cavaliers46c13,159$6,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,053.2727241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bef…3f04backed Cavaliers2c13,060$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-61.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Cavaliers46c13,000$5,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,98024252.5%127 W · 115 L+18.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Cavaliers1c12,915$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.178783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x594d…059dbacked Knicks54c12,842$6,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,907.54887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick53cpaid+63.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Cavaliers38c12,547$4,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,740.187834.6%27 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b7…8daebacked Cavaliers44c12,340$5,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,429.45633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79be…b605backed Knicks53c12,210$6,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,738.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Cavaliers44c12,000$5,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2802951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.