TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$195,534
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$228,890

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,534 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32ed…f960backed Over22c16,598$3,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,618.842,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42a6…cb72backed Under80c15,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,000520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under71c10,787$7,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,078.6642842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e3…22cbbacked Under53c9,243$4,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,298.542653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over65c6,607$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,30052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under62c6,086$3,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,297.5753842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over30c5,072$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.9730551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Over47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35034456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under71c4,642$3,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.786437.5%24 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over27c3,651$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.6136051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under54c3,480$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.8264651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5062…0b34backed Under79c3,163$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.982268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+75.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over43c2,585$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.655251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf13b…e190backed Over48c2,514$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over20c2,493$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7618557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over39c2,378$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.9464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over18c2,120$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.916038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over26c1,983$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.081,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Over53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe42b…1f13backed Over55c1,700$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c73…68e7backed Under68c1,630$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.61566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over33c1,607$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.5625352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under69c1,598$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.5724159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over20c1,469$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.7925150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over45c1,467$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.6693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under46c1,398$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.4969848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Over22c1,371$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.097152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over44c1,287$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.8152861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over32c1,269$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.411,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over20c1,231$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.314463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under56c1,229$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.5611946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over31c1,224$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.788,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52f9…ad24backed Under53c1,161$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.744452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Over55c1,153$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.8462948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x503a…8322backed Under44c1,140$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.485558.2%32 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under55c1,068$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.221,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under45c1,065$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.5832045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over33c1,050$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.529243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under65c1,010$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.5115644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe59c…4da7backed Over48c997.96$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.021346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under64c929.09$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.811,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Over56c881.82$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4931747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under79c842.06$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.8334255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe05…c67cbacked Under59c808.21$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.212050%10 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over25c799.99$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.1236243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under65c799.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over44c797.76$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.6760250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over38c789.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30046959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over23c763.33$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.4459255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over50c745.32$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.221,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae8f…1cc3backed Over47c742.76$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x260b…aa9ebacked Over26c729.92$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.171181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+55.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Under52c699.98$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.994652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under60c661.22$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.7127245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc71…2c40backed Under53c635.57$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.724738.3%18 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under73c627.82$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.5730842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over32c621.36$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.8495651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over27c613.46$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.9221953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Under70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18016052.5%84 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under67c598.69$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.6966352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under44c575.51$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.71,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under49c563.09$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.7889850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9c3…dbc7backed Over38c558.18$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under39c550$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.531354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7984…638abacked Under68c544.79$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.33757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ed…9bb9backed Under53c539.17$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.411656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Under58c516.38$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.782763%17 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over39c510.34$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.315648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Over59c506.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Under60c503.93$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.931866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a24…a0fdbacked Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over42c499.97$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.212,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ab…8432backed Under66c455.37$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.375446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Under67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7621574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bd4…5aaebacked Under51c439.53$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.371947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0af5…154cbacked Over35c428.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.3wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Under55c421.76$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.672650%13 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over34c415.41$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.244047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6d…08a8backed Over25c406.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over47c402.64$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2452150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe10c…e7e2backed Over69c400.32$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.223647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over62c392.79$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24518850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Under77c388.46$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4616555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2102…087dbacked Under44c373.93$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.592532%8 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-38.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over38c370.29$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.7668838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc51…674abacked Over29c358.2$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.422755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa13b…60c0backed Under59c336.22$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.222378.3%18 W · 5 L+5.6wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+53.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Under69c324$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0453945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b8d…6724backed Under76c317.97$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2923140.3%93 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under56c313.28$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.321640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Under66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0313757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74c2…5260backed Under66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.033850%19 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under72c290.56$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.511,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeec6…4558backed Under52c290.52$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.52911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick50cpaid-78.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf280…d801backed Under52c288$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.242441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14a…e846backed Over65c275.92$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.35650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd9…2451backed Over7c272.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202962.1%18 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+28.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under72c259.23$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1852053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb74f…d843backed Under54c258.14$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.926250%31 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over5c251$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8245445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.