TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb1a0…fb89

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
364
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT18741.2%77 W · 110 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 187 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roehampton 2: Fabrizio Andaloro vs Emile Huddbacked Fabrizio Andaloro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.3
Roehampton 2: Anton Matusevich vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzminebacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Juan Pablo Varillas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
US Open, Qualification ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Rinconbacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+178%+$166.66
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Leolia Jeanjean vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Leolia Jeanjean · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.73
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Emiliana Arangobacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$99.75
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Ryan Seggermanbacked Abedallah Shelbayh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$56.28
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.95
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+366%+$190.38
Set Handicap: Kumstat (-1.5) vs Jianu (+1.5)backed Jianu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.53
Kingston: Clement Chidekh vs Lautaro Midonbacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.55
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$132.75
Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullainbacked Michael Geerts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Charles Broombacked Charles Broom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Roehampton: Lui Maxted vs Gabi Boitanbacked Gabi Boitan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.05
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Juan Manuel La Serna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.76
Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlekbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+375.8%+$780.58
Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$182.58
Roehampton: Lui Maxted vs Patrick Bradybacked Patrick Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.92
Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Alex Marti Pujolrasbacked Gerard Campana Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.13
Cincinnati Open: Alexandra Eala vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$181.34
Cincinnati Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.34
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Daniil Glinkabacked Alexander Donski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.48
Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs Tristan Boyerbacked Tristan Boyer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.24
Showing 25 of 187 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT4645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$112
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.68
Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.68
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 176.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.89
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$191
Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.4
Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.11
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 172.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$465.09
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-1.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$207
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 177.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$145
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 181.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$127.49
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 166.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.72
Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$149.99
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$86.59
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 180.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.78
Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.99
PortlandFire vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 168.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$135
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 169.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$172.2
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.89
Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.8
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.65
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-1.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+126.3%+$124.58
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 174.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$139.16
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+222.7%+$223.31
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-3.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$149
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2763%17 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: San Antonio Spurs vs. Utah Jazzbacked San Antonio Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$207.99
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$641Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+361%+$2,312.32
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$240
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$210
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$190
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$235.65
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.8
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$216.78
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,479.93
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$449.99
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$185
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$162.5
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$640
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$592
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$477
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$276.92
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+90.2%+$437.28
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$320
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.33
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$235
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$87.38
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,145.25
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+65%+$315.68
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$227.22
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$37.47
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.6
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.35
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+156.5%+$558.3
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$85.7
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+387.9%+$1,997.67
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.83
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$587.62
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$570.2
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.68
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+204%+$884.52
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$414
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.7
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.92
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.84
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2222.7%5 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$45.03
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.36
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$59.91
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$500.56
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
United States vs. Australia: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+85.9%+$47.23
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$307.14
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-63.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 0 - 3 Manchester City FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 1 - 2 Manchester City FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 1 - 3 Manchester City FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 0 - 2 Manchester City FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Manchester City FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$31.04
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$366
Will Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$154.35
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+55.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.97
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.78
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$100.57
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$404.99
All 5 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-13.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+56.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+201.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+277.4%+$107.95
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+126.5%+$284.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$102.1
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$135.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$286.73
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$105.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+117.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$112.82
Will Granada CF vs. Burgos CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$95.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,232Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$723.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+55%+$142
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$153.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$264
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.