Asian League · resolved market
Will V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Vissel Kōbe end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60d5894057c3693ebee0a9557753f3f8041624fdd0c20407918f67b5c1d5010d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 57c | 8,862$5,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,082.96 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…4867backed Yes | 47c | 4,300$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f1…8332backed Yes | 73c | 2,441$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 27c | 1,636$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.33 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 6c | 1,608$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,159$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Yes | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 24c | 657.41$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.29 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Yes | 79c | 509.4$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Yes | 53c | 490.38$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 8c | 378.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 338.63$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.22 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 77c | 316.4$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.21 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Yes | 48c | 310.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 27c | 297.38$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.24 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 48c | 222.28$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.83 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Yes | 32c | 209.38$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.73 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 73c | 182$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.86 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 56c | 164.06$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 57c | 142.86$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Yes | 48c | 128.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 80c | 101.35$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…e444backed Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0f…27f3backed Yes | 57c | 99.81$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 25c | 96.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 30c | 63.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 22c | 63.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…be6abacked Yes | 78c | 63.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…3affbacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 45c | 61.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed No | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 74c | 60.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 33c | 59.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Yes | 70c | 59.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 66c | 59.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x361f…5edabacked No | 53c | 59.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe06f…6743backed Yes | 53c | 55.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2f…bf2bbacked Yes | 75c | 46.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 42.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Yes | 66c | 40.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d4…c002backed Yes | 49c | 39.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 57c | 39.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 226 | 53.5%121 W · 105 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 69c | 36.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Yes | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed Yes | 68c | 30.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 73c | 29.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 593 | 42.5%252 W · 341 L | -28.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes | 53c | 28.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9411…bfe2backed Yes | 62c | 23.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 67c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87a…2dddbacked Yes | 72c | 16.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 76c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Vissel Kōbe end in a draw?this page
- Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-05-17?No won
- Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.