TailMyPicks
Market

Asian League · resolved market

Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,662
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,662 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfecb…19babacked No49c6,206$3,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,164.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Yes54c5,033$2,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,706.41850%9 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c4,477$2,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,167.815,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed88…e838backed Yes78c3,900$3,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,042944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c2,945$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.372,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Yes57c2,105$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004658.7%27 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d88…e709backed Yes1c2,049$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes53c2,042$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.3112635.7%45 W · 81 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1103…bb2fbacked Yes30c1,487$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45040%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No38c1,156$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.782,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No43c1,127$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.241,11649.5%552 W · 564 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No64c1,111$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.962646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Yes50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5503339.4%13 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Yes80c940$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7521353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x914a…920fbacked Yes53c852.83$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Yes56c714.29$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc20…8c98backed Yes56c699.63$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb416…4588backed Yes49c660.51$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-52%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Yes52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8b9…2444backed Yes52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes35c444.28$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.421,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yes53c429.45$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.613452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Yes54c426.57$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2302544%11 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked No49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.164247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No47c390.62$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.361,23549.9%616 W · 619 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked No49c387.76$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.7614037.1%52 W · 88 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes40c382.5$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15312535.2%44 W · 81 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No60c374.35$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.341,08041.7%450 W · 630 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes54c303.7$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1644650%23 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Yes53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1591963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes51c264.86$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.7596846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Yes33c242.42$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807143.7%31 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+42.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Yes55c218.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Yes55c202.81$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.172560%15 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Yes55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106738.8%26 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No50c199.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5611053.6%59 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe37e…6d97backed Yes53c189.89$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No55c183.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3212660.3%76 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005028%14 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No45c177.53$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0539954.6%218 W · 181 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked No23c173.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.917345.2%33 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes53c170.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5736142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed No49c170.67$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.113256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed No49c153.45$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.45650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes34c151.74$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.195729.8%17 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No44c149$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.441,99154.1%1,078 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…8052backed No56c139.48$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.484946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes19c136.84$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9646422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18c…0350backed Yes38c132.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5036…6c08backed No69c128.99$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No46c120.14$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8889955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes51c117.06$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1873850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x697e…9904backed No47c115.66$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.472425%6 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-47.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed No44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.644845.8%22 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes50c106.33$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8129350.9%149 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0832…9182backed Yes54c101.85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes69c100.01$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7415240.1%61 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No38c90.42$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3282053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes57c87.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505064%32 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Yes47c80.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.649942.4%42 W · 57 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9f6b…b245backed Yes52c73.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+74.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Yes54c68.73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.118241.5%34 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes55c66$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.354354.9%298 W · 245 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8525…0dc3backed Yes79c63.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked Yes77c60.55$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.411764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00b4…87bfbacked Yes53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.83231.3%10 W · 22 L-8.8wins-0.28per pick59cpaid-33.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc117…6ddabacked No19c55.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.221127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed No31c55.74$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.583847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3038737.5%145 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed No46c53.19$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.723630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed No62c51.6$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.655440.7%22 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ed5…2aa3backed Yes57c51.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa182…3106backed Yes55c50.91$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+54.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked No63c50.12$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.541656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No54c49.68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9515971.1%113 W · 46 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32bb…8addbacked No73c47.95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.95475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes51c47.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3810654.7%58 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes47c44.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.895246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No26c44.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8284347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.44744.7%21 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ed8…3affbacked Yes52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdae6…7d39backed Yes52c37.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked No30c35.81$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.947574.7%56 W · 19 L+13.6wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x731b…6124backed Yes56c35.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes50c32.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.27146.5%33 W · 38 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc057…804abacked No49c30.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.531450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa17e…cfcdbacked Yes77c30.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.252166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed No45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf74a…42c0backed Yes57c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb0…20b4backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+43.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7891…c020backed Yes45c24.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.97977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+30.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x325b…328dbacked Yes55c23.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62c8…df7abacked No51c23.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb964…927fbacked Yes55c22.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed No52c21.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.15666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca07…6269backed Yes54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82040%8 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e62…fd00backed Yes78c19.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155040%20 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.