Asian League · resolved market
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23da8ec34a31b43217d52722babcdefcc3ea7387727824dd0d15726bd295c364
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfecb…19babacked No | 49c | 6,206$3,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,164.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 54c | 5,033$2,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,706.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 4,477$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.81 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed Yes | 78c | 3,900$3,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,042 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 2,945$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.37 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Yes | 57c | 2,105$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d88…e709backed Yes | 1c | 2,049$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 53c | 2,042$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.31 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1103…bb2fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,487$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 38c | 1,156$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.78 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 43c | 1,127$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.24 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 64c | 1,111$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Yes | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Yes | 80c | 940$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Yes | 53c | 852.83$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Yes | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…8c98backed Yes | 56c | 699.63$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Yes | 49c | 660.51$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Yes | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…2444backed Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 35c | 444.28$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.42 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 53c | 429.45$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.61 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Yes | 54c | 426.57$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked No | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 47c | 390.62$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.36 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 49c | 387.76$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.76 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 40c | 382.5$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 60c | 374.35$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.34 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 54c | 303.7$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 51c | 264.86$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.75 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Yes | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Yes | 55c | 202.81$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.17 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 50c | 199.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.56 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…6d97backed Yes | 53c | 189.89$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 55c | 183.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.32 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 45c | 177.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.05 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked No | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.91 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 53c | 170.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.57 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed No | 49c | 170.67$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 49c | 153.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 34c | 151.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 149$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.44 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed No | 56c | 139.48$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 136.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…0350backed Yes | 38c | 132.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…6c08backed No | 69c | 128.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 46c | 120.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.88 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 51c | 117.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed No | 47c | 115.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.47 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed No | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 50c | 106.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…9182backed Yes | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 69c | 100.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 38c | 90.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes | 57c | 87.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 47c | 80.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Yes | 52c | 73.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 54c | 68.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 55c | 66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…0dc3backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Yes | 77c | 60.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -8.8wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc117…6ddabacked No | 19c | 55.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed No | 31c | 55.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed No | 46c | 53.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed No | 62c | 51.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed Yes | 57c | 51.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Yes | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked No | 63c | 50.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 54c | 49.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32bb…8addbacked No | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 51c | 47.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 47c | 44.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 26c | 44.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…3affbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae6…7d39backed Yes | 52c | 37.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 30c | 35.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 75 | 74.7%56 W · 19 L | +13.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…6124backed Yes | 56c | 35.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 50c | 32.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…804abacked No | 49c | 30.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…cfcdbacked Yes | 77c | 30.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…42c0backed Yes | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7891…c020backed Yes | 45c | 24.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325b…328dbacked Yes | 55c | 23.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c8…df7abacked No | 51c | 23.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Yes | 55c | 22.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed No | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e62…fd00backed Yes | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Vissel Kōbe end in a draw?Yes won
- Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.