TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed88…e838

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Commodities at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$8,384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,384.29
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,850Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$950
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,716Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,716.12
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,474Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,473.91
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,526Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+41%+$1,444.35
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,294
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,991Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,990.9
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,477Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+162.4%+$4,023
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,687Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$2,530.18
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,353Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,353
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,983Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$626.24
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,536Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$864
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,488Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+127.3%+$3,166.22
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,905Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+44.9%+$1,305
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$38.66
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,009.3
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,996Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$1,284
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,963Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+55.4%+$1,087.5
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,192Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$1,397.5
All 19 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,926Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$1,813.46
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,050
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,033Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+114.3%+$3,466.67
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+150.9%+$6,034.35
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,607Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,606.99
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$859Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+132.8%+$1,140.89
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,469.96
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,499Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,071
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,315.43
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$6,399.98
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,977Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$4,977.13
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$4,999.36
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$4,975.31
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,137Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+58.7%+$1,842.6
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$9,994Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37%+$3,696.3
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10,002Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+44.9%+$4,490.62
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$8,314Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25.2%+$2,098.16
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,699Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$1,029.77
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,054Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+317.1%+$6,512.94
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,001.95
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,118.82
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$954Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$845.99
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,020Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+61.3%+$3,076.86
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,991Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$4,991
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,994Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+58.7%+$2,345.8
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,992Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$6,991.65
Bulls vs. Lakersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13,755Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+73%+$10,044.64
Bucks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,049.95
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,215.72
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,022Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+55.7%+$1,682.79
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$72.14
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,100
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,015Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$2,357.85
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$4,538.44
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$8,378Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$6,495.86
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,100
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,552Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,552
San Francisco Giants vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,890Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,110
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Marinersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,071Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,479
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,960
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,012Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$1,070.14
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$6,567Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$7,114.68
All 12 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,171.79
Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,363Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+60%+$3,215.11
Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,549.94
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,050
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,217Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$2,282.51
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,042Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,042
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,394Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,406
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,433Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$899.91
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,460
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-54%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,679Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,094.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
$WIF listed on Coinbase in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$175.86
Will Caitlyn Jenner sue Sahil?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2024, EDT+32.9%+$217.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$783Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+84.2%+$658.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,155Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+84.1%+$2,654.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,710Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+75.4%+$1,289.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$40.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,625Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+53.8%+$875
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,333Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+44.1%+$1,029.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,478Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$621.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$6,081Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37%+$2,249.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another actor announced as next James Bond actor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+31.6%+$72
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+26.6%+$15.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,870Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$4,869.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.