UFC · resolved market
Leon Edwards vs. Sean Brady
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x931354bfedab1a3b12fe69e3533fe774759b7c6c85bf4415418fc3e36ab7ef6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bradyof Edwards, Brady
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Edwards | 44c | 32,944$14,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,586.33 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Brady | 55c | 29,142$15,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,155.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6130…144abacked Edwards | 45c | 20,016$9,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,007.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Brady | 55c | 19,444$10,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,804.22 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Brady | 55c | 17,453$9,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,853.79 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…8775backed Edwards | 33c | 10,118$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302.16 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3eb…e855backed Brady | 57c | 9,709$5,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,128.46 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Brady | 57c | 8,035$4,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,464.02 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Brady | 58c | 7,000$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.98 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Brady | 58c | 5,288$3,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.79 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Edwards | 45c | 5,242$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,358.8 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Edwards | 34c | 4,856$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.71 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1c…4bccbacked Edwards | 42c | 4,200$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Edwards | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…ab4dbacked Edwards | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Edwards | 42c | 3,571$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Edwards | 27c | 3,301$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.65 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Edwards | 46c | 3,050$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Edwards | 2c | 2,919$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Brady | 56c | 2,748$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.97 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…a0e4backed Edwards | 42c | 2,400$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Edwards | 43c | 2,350$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Edwards | 46c | 2,168$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Brady | 57c | 2,121$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6524…3204backed Edwards | 9c | 2,116$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Edwards | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Brady | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Edwards | 43c | 1,930$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Brady | 58c | 1,800$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Edwards | 45c | 1,706$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.64 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Edwards | 43c | 1,680$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.4 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Edwards | 46c | 1,589$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.24 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Edwards | 45c | 1,437$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.65 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Edwards | 44c | 1,243$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.31 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8003…9032backed Edwards | 42c | 1,176$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Brady | 60c | 1,172$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Edwards | 19c | 1,146$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.93 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…3173backed Edwards | 46c | 1,088$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca86…4002backed Edwards | 47c | 1,060$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.61 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Brady | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Edwards | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Edwards | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Brady | 55c | 928.28$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.78 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Brady | 56c | 927.81$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.11 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Edwards | 22c | 927.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed Edwards | 42c | 762.07$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…a94ebacked Brady | 59c | 719.11$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.01 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Brady | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Edwards | 45c | 648.85$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.98 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…b4e7backed Brady | 56c | 601.93$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.39 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Edwards | 43c | 600$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Brady | 58c | 590$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.3 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Brady | 68c | 590$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.1 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…70bcbacked Brady | 58c | 590$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9bb…00c4backed Edwards | 42c | 531.88$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Edwards | 44c | 500$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.6 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Edwards | 41c | 499.96$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.99 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Brady | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Edwards | 28c | 420$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Edwards | 28c | 420$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b89…693dbacked Brady | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf848…03abbacked Edwards | 39c | 400$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Edwards | 43c | 400$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Brady | 52c | 384.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.79 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…39d3backed Brady | 55c | 369.98$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.49 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Edwards | 31c | 341.15$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.64 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Edwards | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Edwards | 34c | 296.64$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e2…4e21backed Edwards | 42c | 290$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8775…c4aebacked Edwards | 42c | 290$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab7…15a7backed Edwards | 42c | 285$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4437…503ebacked Edwards | 46c | 280$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Edwards | 45c | 268$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.26 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7565…da11backed Brady | 58c | 263.79$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.79 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…fc69backed Edwards | 42c | 263.79$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.79 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Brady | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Brady | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…6988backed Brady | 56c | 249.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…6fa4backed Brady | 58c | 245$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bb…6b62backed Brady | 58c | 243.1$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…5546backed Edwards | 42c | 240.48$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7258…4fb7backed Edwards | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Edwards | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…b4f5backed Edwards | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1a66backed Edwards | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Brady | 56c | 214$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.16 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Edwards | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…a644backed Edwards | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ee…5796backed Edwards | 42c | 190$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65e…1502backed Edwards | 46c | 185$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f62…319dbacked Edwards | 42c | 185$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x465e…bf90backed Brady | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Brady | 58c | 171.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.21 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…2dc5backed Edwards | 42c | 170$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Brady | 62c | 169.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Brady | 56c | 169.64$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xccac…9940backed Edwards | 43c | 165.12$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Edwards | 42c | 165.09$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.69 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd856…c901backed Edwards | 42c | 165$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…510dbacked Brady | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leon Edwards vs. Sean Bradythis page
- Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Andrey PulyaevDuncan won
- Gunnar Nelson vs. Kevin HollandHolland won
- Guram Kutateladze vs Kauê FernandesFernandes won
- Jai Herbert vs. Chris Padilla Padilla won
- Jan Blachowicz vs. Carlos UlbergUlberg won
- Jordan Vucenic vs. Chris DuncanDuncan won
- Lone'er Kavanagh vs. Felipe Dos StanosKavanagh won
- Marcin Tybura vs. Mick ParkinTybura won
- Molly McCann vs. Alexia ThainaraThainara won
- Nathan Fletcher vs. Caolán LoughranLoughran won
- Nathaniel Wood vs. Morgan Charriere Wood won
- Shauna Bannon vs. Puja TomarBannon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.