TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd8f8…0f11

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,160
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Cricket, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 57 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT96620.7%200 W · 766 L+59.8wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+96.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 966 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.55
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.91
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.51
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.62
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.59
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.1
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.41
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+1,407.2%+$663.72
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.72
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.34
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$110.5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.75
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+887.7%+$166.13
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.58
Showing 25 of 966 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT5437%20 W · 34 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: VARREL vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.82
Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.64
Valorant: Team Secret vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.5
Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$91.33
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$165
Valorant: sleepers vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$189.63
Valorant: sleepers vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$138.05
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+124.3%+$55.41
Map Handicap: BBB (-1.5) vs FUSION (+1.5)backed FUSION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+124.3%+$55.41
Valorant: FUSION vs Contra - Map 2 Winnerbacked Contra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+124.3%+$55.41
Valorant: FUSION vs Contra - Map 1 Winnerbacked Contra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$44.58
Valorant: AB3 Esports vs Tezcat Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Tezcat Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$21.45
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$104.11
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Leviatán Academy (+1.5)backed 9z Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$93.69
Valorant: 9z Team vs Leviatán Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$46.03
Map Handicap: SRB (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses Academy (+1.5)backed Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$44.12
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+124.9%+$55.53
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Evil Geniuses Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+136.1%+$59.51
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Evil Geniuses Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$43.21
Map Handicap: KRÜ Spark (-1.5) vs ALT F4 (+1.5)backed KRÜ Spark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$202.44
Valorant: QoR vs Team Evictix - Map 2 Winnerbacked QoR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$107.43
Valorant: Fuego vs Chivas Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fuego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$102.01
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+84%+$29.41
Map Handicap: FVN (-1.5) vs Aura (+1.5)backed Aura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$56.6
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT4533.3%15 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cory Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Brandon Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$65.99
UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Wang Cong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$139
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Sean O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+203%+$67
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Dern vs. Jandirobabacked Jandiroba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Allen vs. de Ridderbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.7
Malott vs. Hollandbacked Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.backed Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$112
UFC Fight Night: Lookboonmee vs. Thainarabacked Thainara · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silvabacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+203%+$67
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhangbacked Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,495Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+36.5%+$2,004.54
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Cortes-Acostabacked Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,315Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,315.45
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico backed Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$59
UFC 318: Vettori vs. Allen backed Vettori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.7
Salkilld vs. Ashmouzbacked Ashmouz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.3
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Cricket — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Philippines vs Indonesia - Toss Match Double Philippines Winnerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.14
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru - Who wins the toss?backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+111.6%+$102.73
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.14
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings - Toss Match Double Mumbai Indians Winnerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.74
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings - Who wins the toss?backed Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+142.2%+$63.92
National Cricket League, Women: Western Australia vs ACT Meteors - Team Top Batter Drawbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+127.2%+$137.45
National Cricket League, Women: Western Australia vs ACT Meteors - Completed match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+116.7%+$196.37
National Cricket League, Women: South Australian Scorpions vs New South Wales Breakers - Completed match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+175.2%+$27.86
National Cricket League, Women: South Australian Scorpions vs New South Wales Breakers - Who wins the toss?backed New South Wales Breakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.31
National Cricket League, Women: Queensland Fire vs Victoria - Completed match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+143.3%+$93.86
National Cricket League, Women: Queensland Fire vs Victoria - Team Top Batter Drawbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.62
National Cricket League, Women: Queensland Fire vs Victoria - Team Top Batter Victoria Winnerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.49
National Cricket League, Women: Queensland Fire vs Victoria - Team Top Batter Queensland Fire Winnerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+130.6%+$129.77
National Cricket League, Women: Queensland Fire vs Victoria - Who wins the toss?backed Queensland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+142.4%+$94.62
National Cricket League, Women: Western Australia vs ACT Meteors - Who wins the toss?backed Western Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.21
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier B: Mexico vs Cayman - Toss Match Double Drawbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.13
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier B: Mexico vs Cayman - Who wins the toss?backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.6
National Cricket League, Women: Queensland Fire vs Victoria - Team Top Batter Drawbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+113.8%+$148.43
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier B: Argentina vs Suriname - Team Top Batter Suriname Winnerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$43.43
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier B: Argentina vs Suriname - Completed match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.43
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier B: Argentina vs Suriname - Who wins the toss?backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+130.6%+$90.57
ODI Series Australia vs India, Women: Australia vs India - Completed match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+121.4%+$41.12
ODI Series Australia vs India, Women: Australia vs India - Who wins the toss?backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.04
Sheffield Shield: Tasmanian Tigers vs New South Wales Blues (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?backed New South Wales Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.35
Ranji Trophy: Puducherry vs Rajasthan (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?backed Rajasthan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+42.9%+$81
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+54.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+41.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+36.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick24cpaid+298.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+257.1%+$72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Yakutou Brothers (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Abacked Yakutou Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$69.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$114
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.