UFC · resolved market
Allen vs. de Ridder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x531bc9390f40cfbb4e9db5471dd3f2722b8ac561974fca61a0915cd1627fe695
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allenof Allen, de Ridder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $623,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $663,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $623,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 345 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Allen | 33c | 165,150$54,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,618.23 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed de Ridder | 67c | 133,681$89,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,566.39 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Allen | 42c | 73,338$30,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,484.92 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc63…ded0backed de Ridder | 66c | 70,265$46,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,235.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Allen | 33c | 40,692$13,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,208.4 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed de Ridder | 67c | 28,536$19,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,118.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed de Ridder | 68c | 26,800$18,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,224 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Allen | 33c | 26,006$8,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,425.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Allen | 33c | 25,580$8,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,061.54 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…0aaabacked de Ridder | 66c | 21,355$14,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,094.3 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Allen | 34c | 20,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed de Ridder | 66c | 19,000$12,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,607.98 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Allen | 34c | 18,730$6,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,361.91 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Allen | 34c | 18,688$6,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,334.08 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…4229backed de Ridder | 67c | 14,925$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -56%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked de Ridder | 66c | 14,617$9,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,683.19 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Allen | 34c | 13,816$4,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,052.14 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…7a21backed de Ridder | 71c | 11,780$8,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,420 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…5feabacked de Ridder | 67c | 11,194$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed de Ridder | 66c | 10,746$7,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,092.5 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked de Ridder | 24c | 10,626$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.47 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Allen | 35c | 9,220$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,022.79 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Allen | 34c | 8,880$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,860.77 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Allen | 38c | 8,681$3,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.22 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed de Ridder | 65c | 8,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.98 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Allen | 33c | 7,990$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,353.3 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -12.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Allen | 33c | 7,839$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,255.04 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed de Ridder | 67c | 7,817$5,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,237.39 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…e99bbacked de Ridder | 67c | 6,884$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed de Ridder | 66c | 6,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed de Ridder | 66c | 5,749$3,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,794.09 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb079…b002backed de Ridder | 67c | 5,723$3,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,834.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed de Ridder | 9c | 5,711$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.43 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Allen | 33c | 4,986$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,340.53 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked de Ridder | 60c | 4,715$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.61 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Allen | 33c | 4,583$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.94 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…e4c2backed de Ridder | 67c | 4,515$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked de Ridder | 27c | 4,500$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.16 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2876…c4b2backed de Ridder | 67c | 4,465$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991.55 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Allen | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.99 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed de Ridder | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62c3…b47abacked de Ridder | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked de Ridder | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…b2f9backed Allen | 39c | 2,898$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.23 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb045…d4cebacked de Ridder | 67c | 2,834$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed de Ridder | 67c | 2,817$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.71 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed de Ridder | 67c | 2,800$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…3608backed de Ridder | 67c | 2,500$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked de Ridder | 66c | 2,495$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.05 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…bc18backed de Ridder | 67c | 2,366$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec65…cf87backed Allen | 72c | 2,334$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Allen | 35c | 2,219$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.56 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked de Ridder | 67c | 2,128$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Allen | 64c | 2,070$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.31 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Allen | 34c | 2,047$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.22 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…5a81backed de Ridder | 67c | 2,040$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Allen | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.99 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Allen | 54c | 1,971$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.85 | 265 | 52.1%138 W · 127 L | +23.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed de Ridder | 58c | 1,900$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed de Ridder | 61c | 1,750$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.5 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Allen | 46c | 1,700$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Allen | 34c | 1,661$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.21 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbb…9a8cbacked de Ridder | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed de Ridder | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…1722backed de Ridder | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…b832backed de Ridder | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f22…6482backed de Ridder | 67c | 1,492$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.56 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Allen | 32c | 1,488$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.97 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked de Ridder | 67c | 1,463$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed de Ridder | 61c | 1,450$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.5 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Allen | 35c | 1,399$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.63 | 192 | 30.7%59 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Allen | 33c | 1,392$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.67 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Allen | 33c | 1,352$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…518cbacked de Ridder | 66c | 1,299$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3232…9001backed de Ridder | 66c | 1,283$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Allen | 33c | 1,264$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.8 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed de Ridder | 8c | 1,253$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…dc03backed de Ridder | 67c | 1,243$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.51 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f3…a4e4backed Allen | 32c | 1,171$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.59 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed de Ridder | 66c | 1,136$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 357 | 64.7%231 W · 126 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed de Ridder | 66c | 1,093$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.71 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Allen | 58c | 1,092$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.69 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Allen | 35c | 1,080$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Allen | 71c | 1,062$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.22 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked de Ridder | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed de Ridder | 66c | 999.97$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.98 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb37f…6d0ebacked de Ridder | 67c | 979.36$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.17 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed de Ridder | 56c | 900$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked de Ridder | 24c | 877.96$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.42 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e194backed de Ridder | 68c | 861.55$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x915d…65f9backed de Ridder | 59c | 860$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.6 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed de Ridder | 69c | 834.93$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.96 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed de Ridder | 66c | 765$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.9 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a50ebacked de Ridder | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -10.5wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked de Ridder | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Allen | 34c | 740.88$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.98 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Allen | 31c | 700$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…599fbacked de Ridder | 72c | 678.78$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed de Ridder | 67c | 670.68$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked de Ridder | 66c | 666$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.56 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Allen vs. de Ridderthis page
- Barlow vs. SantosSantos won
- Bekoev vs. BelgarouiBelgaroui won
- Dober vs. PrepolecDober won
- Fiorot vs. JasudaviciusFiorot won
- Frevola vs. NelsonNelson won
- Grant vs. JourdainJourdain won
- Lisboa vs. CrodenCroden won
- Luciano vs. OliveiraLuciano won
- Malott vs. HollandMalott won
- Silva vs. ParkSilva won
- Vera vs. ZahabiZahabi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.