TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

Grant vs. Jourdain

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jourdainof Grant, Jourdain
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,929
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,684

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,929 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x01ba…b77abacked Grant37c29,940$11,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,152.7922259.5%132 W · 90 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc63…ded0backed Jourdain63c22,943$14,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,503.97650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec65…cf87backed Jourdain63c20,130$12,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,445.821145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Grant36c10,849$3,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,918.332060%12 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Grant36c7,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5203151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Jourdain64c5,598$3,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.35356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d2…2280backed Jourdain65c5,555$3,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Grant36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8002441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Grant36c4,744$1,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,705.456346%29 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Jourdain62c4,710$2,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.928849.7%143 W · 145 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Grant35c4,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.9920249%99 W · 103 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Jourdain64c3,917$2,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.5931855%175 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Grant37c3,322$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.148940.4%36 W · 53 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb277…0aaabacked Grant40c3,209$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.281735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Grant37c3,200$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1842958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Jourdain63c3,153$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.2116951.5%87 W · 82 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Jourdain63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.9620233.7%68 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Grant37c2,700$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99930964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x857c…cb02backed Jourdain63c2,584$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Grant37c2,300$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85153956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Grant35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70021044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Jourdain64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72013650%68 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd6…bc18backed Jourdain64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.54856.3%27 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Jourdain60c1,525$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.16944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dcd…1722backed Grant37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5551520%3 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Grant26c1,452$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.3521247.2%100 W · 112 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Jourdain64c1,350$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.7339959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa253…7630backed Grant39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.835240.4%21 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Grant36c1,200$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43216247.5%77 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked Grant37c1,129$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.731442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Jourdain61c1,022$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.3517850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c2…a50ebacked Jourdain64c1,016$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.635232.7%17 W · 35 L-10.5wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-48.6%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Grant36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36032545.2%147 W · 178 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7455…93adbacked Grant36c900$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32419531.8%62 W · 133 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Grant35c815.01$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.2533253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Grant37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026743.8%117 W · 150 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Jourdain64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.259164.8%59 W · 32 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Jourdain65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.3829848.7%145 W · 153 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed Grant35c603.68$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.56155.7%34 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Jourdain64c560.5$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.783748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Grant37c541$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.172231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe583…bbd7backed Grant37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Grant38c536.84$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046756.7%38 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Grant39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-47.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb37f…6d0ebacked Jourdain64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.751947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Grant37c399.98$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.993732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ed3…07c9backed Jourdain65c384.62$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.62475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea0…41aebacked Grant38c344.24$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Grant38c339.68$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.6828743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Grant39c332.48$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.6716851.8%87 W · 81 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Grant36c330.06$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8212541.6%52 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14c3…df68backed Jourdain73c307.6$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.198248.8%40 W · 42 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed Jourdain64c306.15$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.1513450%67 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Jourdain64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1084746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Jourdain64c275$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fab…3c98backed Grant38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Jourdain64c257.81$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.813148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Grant39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018644.1%82 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6657…a414backed Grant37c243$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.91850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Jourdain65c232.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.313655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Grant35c230$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5619230.7%59 W · 133 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd316…bca3backed Jourdain63c213.42$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.42944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Jourdain65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706650%33 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x929c…8cb6backed Jourdain64c200$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7311152.3%58 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Grant37c199.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748036.3%29 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Grant37c192.4$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6751533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c6d…e194backed Jourdain64c191.66$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd116…be32backed Grant36c163.19$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.381872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+73.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x300f…d366backed Grant37c161.59$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.793959%23 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d43…438abacked Jourdain64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Jourdain64c156.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.225431.5%17 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Jourdain65c154.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.222753.3%121 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Grant37c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.548749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7259…a6c4backed Grant36c139$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.043737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Grant36c138.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013044.6%58 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Grant37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Grant36c127.25$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.57728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-53.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86e6…f634backed Grant37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Jourdain64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3624862.5%155 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Jourdain64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367451.4%38 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x731c…a252backed Jourdain64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Jourdain67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44c1…aa71backed Grant37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376741.8%28 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed Jourdain64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9363…3608backed Jourdain64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366462.5%40 W · 24 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c2…a30cbacked Grant37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Jourdain66c86.6$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.437754.6%206 W · 171 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…e7b3backed Jourdain63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.373855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Grant40c75.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3032431.8%103 W · 221 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bc8…3d2abacked Grant37c75.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0dc…84e0backed Grant38c75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.56547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Jourdain63c71.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.436451.6%33 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b75…1fcbbacked Grant37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Grant38c66.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14c8…ce8bbacked Jourdain63c65.08$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.083268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Jourdain64c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.752252.9%276 W · 246 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Grant36c58.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.953740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Grant39c56.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2228333.2%94 W · 189 L+0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Jourdain64c54.69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.694763.8%30 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Grant37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201850%9 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.