TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7259…a6c4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 56 out of 100; worst AI at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT3737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sean Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$108.5
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$102
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.51
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.46
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Nate Landwehr · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Kevin Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$98.46
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Rob Font · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50.1
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Cody Garbrandt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+150%+$150
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$41
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Spivac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reese · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Alibi Idiris (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Idiris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
UFC Fight Night: Phil Rowe vs. Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Phil Rowe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$33
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$64.5
UFC 325: Elliott vs. Micallef (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Elliott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$40
UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
UFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Namajunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$24.57
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Tsarukyan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Hooker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Menifield (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Menifield · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$34
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Orolbai (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Orolbai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+56.3%+$36
UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Gaziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$32
Park vs. Aliskerovbacked Park · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Packers (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Buccaneers vs. Saintsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$33
Spread: Bengals (-6.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$21.25
Spread: Ravens (-6.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.88
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
49ers vs. Texansbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Spread: Chargers (-3.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Spread: Broncos (-7.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$49
Colts vs. Chargersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$58.86
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$46.56
Raiders vs. Chiefsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Rams vs. Jaguarsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$39
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+100%+$30
Spread: Bills (-4.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$31.62
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$22.79
Spread: Chargers (-4.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.36
All 17 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+198%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
Spread: Spain (-3.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 3 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+93.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+156.4%+$156.77
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jack Draper win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.