UFC · resolved market
UFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fbee5515e10e8271b17c602a322fe85bb49a864e63bf9dc252aa2c8aceffea1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Silvaof Namajunas, Silva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $586,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $647,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $586,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 503 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Namajunas | 27c | 42,944$11,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,623.88 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Silva | 73c | 40,048$29,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,812.98 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Namajunas | 33c | 37,719$12,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,405.7 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Silva | 73c | 35,780$26,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,660.62 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Silva | 72c | 32,383$23,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,067.31 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Silva | 73c | 30,000$21,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,099.97 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Silva | 30c | 29,871$9,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,762.92 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Namajunas | 27c | 21,002$5,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,670.54 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Namajunas | 27c | 20,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.99 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Namajunas | 27c | 20,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.94 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Namajunas | 24c | 18,996$4,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,593.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Namajunas | 27c | 18,530$5,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,003.1 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed Namajunas | 27c | 18,518$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.86 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Silva | 73c | 14,555$10,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,935.37 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Namajunas | 27c | 12,699$3,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,428.65 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Silva | 56c | 11,788$6,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,198.01 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Namajunas | 45c | 10,871$4,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,929.16 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Namajunas | 28c | 10,735$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd45e…bd43backed Namajunas | 46c | 10,027$4,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,621.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Silva | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…c60bbacked Namajunas | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Silva | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Silva | 76c | 9,710$7,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Silva | 62c | 8,950$5,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,403.06 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Silva | 74c | 8,927$6,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.8 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Silva | 73c | 8,220$6,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.4 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Namajunas | 26c | 6,974$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.36 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Namajunas | 41c | 6,249$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.4 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Silva | 33c | 5,859$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,912.42 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Namajunas | 26c | 5,586$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.42 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Silva | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Silva | 73c | 5,000$3,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.41 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Namajunas | 49c | 4,991$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.06 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Namajunas | 50c | 4,968$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.88 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Silva | 41c | 4,883$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,904.42 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Namajunas | 28c | 4,400$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Silva | 51c | 4,336$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.39 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Namajunas | 27c | 4,200$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed Silva | 76c | 4,181$3,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Silva | 72c | 4,130$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Silva | 73c | 4,109$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Namajunas | 26c | 4,096$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.29 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Namajunas | 51c | 4,056$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.71 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Silva | 40c | 3,878$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.45 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Silva | 73c | 3,728$2,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Namajunas | 44c | 3,700$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.29 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Silva | 73c | 3,506$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.53 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Namajunas | 27c | 3,212$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Silva | 52c | 3,066$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.94 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Silva | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Namajunas | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Namajunas | 27c | 2,963$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.01 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Namajunas | 32c | 2,612$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.75 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e15…cfdbbacked Silva | 28c | 2,523$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +260.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…eeb1backed Silva | 76c | 2,186$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.59 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…a54dbacked Silva | 74c | 2,027$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Silva | 74c | 2,027$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.03 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Namajunas | 50c | 2,019$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Namajunas | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Namajunas | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Silva | 56c | 1,980$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.94 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Silva | 57c | 1,942$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.15 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Silva | 73c | 1,911$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.61 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Namajunas | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Namajunas | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Silva | 26c | 1,734$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +191.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…6ff7backed Silva | 73c | 1,617$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Silva | 75c | 1,508$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Namajunas | 73c | 1,477$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Silva | 72c | 1,428$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.83 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Silva | 74c | 1,414$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.57 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fc…b59ebacked Namajunas | 3c | 1,400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Silva | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.9 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4d5ebacked Silva | 26c | 1,359$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.31 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3523…a266backed Silva | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Namajunas | 23c | 1,351$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.71 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1b…724fbacked Silva | 74c | 1,350$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 49 | 81.6%40 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Silva | 76c | 1,312$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.38 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Namajunas | 25c | 1,307$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.7 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Silva | 74c | 1,297$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.19 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Silva | 34c | 1,241$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Namajunas | 31c | 1,200$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Namajunas | 28c | 1,189$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f0…3286backed Silva | 73c | 1,148$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.94 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Silva | 73c | 1,112$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.15 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…7462backed Silva | 76c | 1,072$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Namajunas | 26c | 1,054$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.15 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Silva | 15c | 1,048$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.8 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…b859backed Namajunas | 73c | 1,031$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Silva | 74c | 1,030$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Silva | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Namajunas | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…980bbacked Namajunas | 69c | 1,000$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Silva | 74c | 924$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.24 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Namajunas | 27c | 912.5$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.38 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Namajunas | 68c | 906.75$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.14 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…e32cbacked Namajunas | 27c | 899.97$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Namajunas | 80c | 888$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.84 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Silva | 74c | 875$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Namajunas | 30c | 799.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.