TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ee4…80f2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
199
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: WNBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT6555.4%36 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dana White's Contender Series: Trent Miller vs. Douglas Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Douglas Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.82
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Eric Nolan vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Farman Hasanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$250
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Maycee Barber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Lerryan Douglas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$130.56
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Yousri Belgaroui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,813Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$481.96
UFC Fight Night: Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Casey O'Neill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Bruno Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lerone Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.66
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Michael Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$99.56
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Losene Keita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs. Shem Rock (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,351Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$404.15
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Miguel Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,315Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$328.63
UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Marwan Rahiki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$965Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$350.79
UFC 326: Rodolfo Bellato vs. Luke Fernandez (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Luke Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,761Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,761.34
UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Zellhuber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,837Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,836.55
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Bunes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Ige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+127.3%+$127.27
UFC Fight Night: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Michal Oleksiejczuk vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Barriault · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Farid Basharat vs. Jean Matsumoto (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Matsumoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Julius Walker (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$101.56
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT3161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,231Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+35.9%+$442.19
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,186Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+127.1%+$1,507.58
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+33.3%+$27.25
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,545Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+40.8%+$631.2
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$73.45
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,955Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$651.65
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,736Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+28.3%+$490.48
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+41.3%+$486.67
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,058Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$839.1
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,697Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+25.6%+$691.25
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,395Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+31.3%+$436.24
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$687Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$686.7
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,254Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+39.1%+$2,055.32
Rockets vs. Kings: 1H Moneylinebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,768Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+34%+$942.02
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$333.57
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Bulls vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Trail Blazers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+85.2%+$170.37
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2025, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Blackhawksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$156.56
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$99.35
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Red Wings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Maple Leafs vs. Predatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Golden Knights vs. Sabresbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Golden Knights vs. Penguinsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$54.31
Penguins vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Flames vs. Flyersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,811Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+25%+$452.75
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Blackhawks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+33.3%+$32
Will USA win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buffalo Bulls vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$169.44
Montana Grizzlies vs. Eastern Washington Eaglesbacked Montana Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Indiana Hoosiersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$721Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+37%+$266.77
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Harvard Crimsonbacked Dartmouth Big Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+28.5%+$299.54
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+58.3%+$387
Columbia Lions vs. Cornell Big Redbacked Cornell Big Red · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$876Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$875.63
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Belmont Bruinsbacked Belmont Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Lindenwood Lions vs. Missouri State Bearsbacked Missouri State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+27.6%+$148.73
Norfolk State Spartans vs. UTEP Minersbacked Norfolk State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+45.4%+$272.69
Texas Tech vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$123.5
Ole Miss vs. Michigan Statebacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Oregon vs. Arizonabacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+25%+$50
Illinois vs. Kentuckybacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,032Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+69.6%+$718.27
Arkansas vs. St. John'sbacked St. John's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,045.03
North Carolina vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$28.49
All 15 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+31.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,169Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$1,904.91
Will the New York Liberty win the 2025 WNBA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Dream vs Mercurybacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+64.6%+$64.57
Aces vs Wingsbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$102.05
Mercury vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$292.64
Mystics vs Stormbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+170.1%+$170.11
Dream vs Libertybacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.71
Valkyries vs Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+27.6%+$55.23
Aces vs Mysticsbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+31.7%+$26.27
Lynx vs Sparksbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+33.9%+$67.71
Lynx vs Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$58.33
Aces vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+25%+$62.5
Fever vs Lynxbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+35.2%+$703.21
Fever vs Stormbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+27.2%+$81.61
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.19
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+64%+$202.99
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$950
Jordan leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,295Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$1,098.18
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$54.18
New Zealand leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$562.5
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$665.75
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,492Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$373.05
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.9%+$82.31
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$3,000
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+41.9%+$188.33
Will Trump cut military spending?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+48.8%+$48.82
Will TikTok be banned again before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+49%+$98.03
Will Trump eliminate daylight saving time in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$125
Trump declassifies 9/11 files in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+33.2%+$166.07
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+43.3%+$429.31
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$902Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+87.7%+$790.62
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-30.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASB Classic: Francesca Jones vs Emma Navarrobacked Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,255.61
Brisbane International: Sofia Kenin vs Gabriela Rusebacked Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,926Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+39.4%+$759.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$500
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Travelers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+116.4%+$87.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,406Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+37.5%+$527.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dogecoin above $0.25 on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+31.5%+$31.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29ºC in February 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$819.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.