Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International: Sofia Kenin vs Gabriela Ruse
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a72c7e5bedc8bea4a77369c27abbdaff5711395744b61c46abeddb06d4fcaaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keninof Kenin, Ruse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Kenin | 72c | 2,685$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9af…7807backed Ruse | 12c | 2,542$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38c…23b3backed Kenin | 66c | 2,336$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ruse | 29c | 1,898$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.55 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Ruse | 37c | 1,575$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Kenin | 71c | 1,278$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.07 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ruse | 14c | 1,140$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.47 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Ruse | 14c | 1,138$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.86 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ruse | 2c | 1,049$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ruse | 15c | 1,004$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Ruse | 34c | 548.82$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.66 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Ruse | 12c | 534.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Kenin | 72c | 450.75$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.25 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1324…aa38backed Ruse | 39c | 362.71$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Kenin | 48c | 300$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.54 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Ruse | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545e…0185backed Ruse | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Ruse | 29c | 293.94$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Kenin | 78c | 257.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Ruse | 11c | 235.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Kenin | 71c | 217.79$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.81 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Ruse | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Ruse | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Ruse | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Ruse | 32c | 188.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…31e9backed Ruse | 11c | 185.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Ruse | 34c | 167.34$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…f97fbacked Kenin | 52c | 165.78$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbe…4d6abacked Kenin | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kenin | 67c | 149.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Kenin | 70c | 141.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 96 | 69.8%67 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Kenin | 45c | 126.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ruse | 18c | 109.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…6df2backed Kenin | 71c | 108$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Ruse | 50c | 107.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…1511backed Ruse | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc3…2b11backed Kenin | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Ruse | 50c | 90.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…0b62backed Ruse | 55c | 90.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Ruse | 18c | 88.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Kenin | 68c | 83.62$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Ruse | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Kenin | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Ruse | 64c | 50.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Ruse | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Ruse | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Kenin | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ruse | 29c | 46.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Ruse | 37c | 45.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Ruse | 56c | 39.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Kenin | 45c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…18afbacked Kenin | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80e2…9ff7backed Kenin | 49c | 28.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c13…e7febacked Kenin | 73c | 27.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked Ruse | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…c35dbacked Kenin | 71c | 18.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…0cc4backed Kenin | 79c | 14.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.