TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe4e2…f97f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Serie A, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2050%10 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$238
Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$83
US Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$144.83
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+101.4%+$158.11
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Pisa SC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+162.6%+$29.26
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Torino FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+42%+$75.53
Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$116.67
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+439.9%+$60.69
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+118.6%+$154.19
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+154.2%+$186.63
Will Atalanta BC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Juventus FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+270.4%+$54.07
Will Genoa CFC vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+412.8%+$107.33
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+66.2%+$90.65
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+40.8%+$59.63
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+45.5%+$219.95
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$394
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+55.2%+$55.92
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$70.06
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.94
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baezbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$144
Hobart International: Emma Raducanu vs Taylah Prestonbacked Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$155
Adelaide International: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keysbacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
ASB Classic: Iva Jovic vs Sara Bejlekbacked Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$226.25
Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.12
Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Alejandro Tabilo vs Luca Van Asschebacked Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$34.91
Brisbane International: Jaqueline Cristian vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Brisbane International: Sofia Kenin vs Gabriela Rusebacked Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+93.5%+$80.13
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.4wins-0.49per pick63cpaid-81.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Brute (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Sharks (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Redemption Curitiba Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs 9INE (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$114
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group Dbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$165
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$38.23
All 7 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Cincinnati Bearcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$29
California Golden Bears vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+61.3%+$52.1
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Appalachian State Mountaineersbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+25.5%+$25.52
Spread: Ohio Bobcats (-3.5)backed Ohio Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$36
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+38.9%+$48.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.