Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Ohio Bobcats (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17f660c33f535046285876be472e90275bcadc392d90db14139216147f5089a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Massachusetts Minutemenof Ohio Bobcats, Massachusetts Minutemen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Ohio Bobcats | 8c | 800$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 46c | 727.09$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Ohio Bobcats | 7c | 650$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Ohio Bobcats | 53c | 594$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.82 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Ohio Bobcats | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 48c | 353.98$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.93 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ohio Bobcats | 19c | 184.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…59fcbacked Ohio Bobcats | 76c | 179$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.77 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 47c | 179$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.87 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 50c | 98.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Ohio Bobcats | 50c | 81.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Ohio Bobcats | 52c | 81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Ohio Bobcats | 52c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Ohio Bobcats | 52c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Ohio Bobcats | 55c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…f97fbacked Ohio Bobcats | 75c | 47.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 48c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 49c | 41.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Ohio Bobcats | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4390…e842backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Ohio Bobcats | 53c | 23.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Ohio Bobcats | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…12d7backed Ohio Bobcats | 56c | 21.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ohio Bobcats (-3.5)this page
- Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Ohio BobcatsOhio Bobcats won
- Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Ohio Bobcats: O/U 156.5Over won
- Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Ohio Bobcats: O/U 157.5Over won
- Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Ohio Bobcats: O/U 158.5Over won
- Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Ohio Bobcats: O/U 159.5Over won
- Spread: Ohio Bobcats (-4.5)Massachusetts Minutemen won
- Spread: Ohio Bobcats (-5.5)Massachusetts Minutemen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.