TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0cbb…59fc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 56 out of 100; worst Asian League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. UCF Knightsbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+48.2%+$43.8
Baylor Bears vs. UCF Knightsbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$30.77
Villanova Wildcats vs. Xavier Musketeersbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+53.8%+$105
Hampton Pirates vs. North Carolina A&T Aggiesbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+27.6%+$43.25
Xavier Musketeers vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Xavier Musketeers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Boise State Broncos vs. New Mexico Lobosbacked New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$23.65
Western Carolina Catamounts vs. UNCG Spartansbacked UNCG Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+92.4%+$48.02
Wofford Terriers vs. VMI Keydets: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+47.6%+$34.41
Fairfield Stags vs. Iona Gaelsbacked Fairfield Stags · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+34.9%+$36.13
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. New Hampshire Wildcatsbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$37.4
Morgan State Bears vs. Norfolk State Spartansbacked Morgan State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+131.6%+$226.8
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+37.9%+$55
Providence Friars vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+25%+$122
Drake Bulldogs vs. Southern Illinois Salukis: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+132.6%+$22.5
Rice Owls vs. Wichita State Shockersbacked Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$340.52
Spread: Ohio Bobcats (-3.5)backed Ohio Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$136.77
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Harvard Crimson: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,406Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+28.7%+$403.29
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+30%+$28.69
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. California Golden Bearsbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.5%+$119.18
All 19 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+32%+$31.5
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$86.91
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$27.83
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$11.24
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$88.66
Shanxi Loongs vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$48.7
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.34
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+177.2%+$58.26
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Stormbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,244Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$1,087.86
Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$7.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$79.89
Huzhou: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Han Shibacked Alevtina Ibragimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.