Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rice Owls vs. Wichita State Shockers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe14414f9c2e659626dee439d8caee2507da22a042f875e4af2907f1b108d9a58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rice Owlsof Rice Owls, Wichita State Shockers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Wichita State Shockers | 9c | 5,863$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.94 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rice Owls | 46c | 5,653$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.85 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wichita State Shockers | 60c | 3,225$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.95 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Wichita State Shockers | 12c | 3,135$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.97 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Rice Owls | 75c | 3,062$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.75 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Rice Owls | 11c | 2,254$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.1 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wichita State Shockers | 21c | 2,116$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.9 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Wichita State Shockers | 12c | 1,891$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.21 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Wichita State Shockers | 42c | 1,638$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.67 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…59fcbacked Wichita State Shockers | 32c | 1,064$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.52 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Rice Owls | 11c | 1,007$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rice Owls | 80c | 815.83$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.21 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wichita State Shockers | 57c | 628.66$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.43 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Wichita State Shockers | 37c | 430$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.4 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Wichita State Shockers | 47c | 414.37$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.33 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Wichita State Shockers | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc3…2b11backed Rice Owls | 10c | 302.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wichita State Shockers | 21c | 298$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Wichita State Shockers | 49c | 273$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.76 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Wichita State Shockers | 13c | 187.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 94 | 12.8%12 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Wichita State Shockers | 41c | 121.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2a…f4f7backed Wichita State Shockers | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Wichita State Shockers | 48c | 80.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c4…429ebacked Rice Owls | 61c | 32.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Rice Owls | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Rice Owls | 63c | 19.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rice Owls vs. Wichita State Shockersthis page
- Rice Owls vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 140.5Under won
- Spread: Wichita State Shockers (-12.5)Rice Owls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.