WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 161.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d4164b867c7d13aaff243df82fba55342c4ce640c38fefcca15935a847d5b88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 48c | 412.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 388.77$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.52 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Under | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Over | 50c | 200.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.94 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…0b74backed Under | 56c | 178.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 173.62$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.55 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 163.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.91 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Under | 66c | 151.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 52c | 111.78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 49c | 96.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 50c | 95.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac04…437ebacked Under | 50c | 95.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 36c | 81.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 46c | 72.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Under | 19c | 69.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 57c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Under | 54c | 37.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 42c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 54c | 23.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Under | 52c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…59fcbacked Over | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 161.5this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 157.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 158.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 159.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 160.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-13.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-14.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-15.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.