TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Atlanta Dreamof Connecticut Sun, Atlanta Dream
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,648
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,010

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,648 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Connecticut Sun10c36,696$3,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,669.5713950.4%70 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Connecticut Sun10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Connecticut Sun11c4,200$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46223931.8%76 W · 163 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Connecticut Sun49c3,853$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Connecticut Sun38c3,084$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.1950646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream67c3,036$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.4499548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Connecticut Sun11c2,743$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Dream65c2,607$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.485158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun15c2,098$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.011,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Connecticut Sun11c1,712$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf807…c5dcbacked Connecticut Sun20c1,708$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.031717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-68.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1491…11d3backed Connecticut Sun36c1,317$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.041675%12 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Connecticut Sun13c1,300$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.9913024.6%32 W · 98 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Connecticut Sun16c1,238$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Atlanta Dream50c1,204$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.3312045%54 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Connecticut Sun19c1,170$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.191127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Connecticut Sun23c1,167$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.2531448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Connecticut Sun17c1,165$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.521414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-79.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Connecticut Sun10c1,038$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.32425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Connecticut Sun10c1,020$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1078733.3%29 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Atlanta Dream75c1,016$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.81872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Connecticut Sun30c1,002$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.3415250.7%77 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Connecticut Sun22c987.3$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.3919428.9%56 W · 138 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Connecticut Sun14c958.72$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.562615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ab…e495backed Connecticut Sun11c914.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-58%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Connecticut Sun11c874.08$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.33941%16 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x205d…3ab2backed Connecticut Sun11c797.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Connecticut Sun2c759.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.77390%0 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Dream63c720.59$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.1289349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x941f…bac9backed Connecticut Sun46c700$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.9550%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Connecticut Sun4c648.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7850952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Connecticut Sun18c618$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.321446.3%99 W · 115 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Connecticut Sun12c600$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.429129.7%27 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15dd…11dbbacked Connecticut Sun14c582.52$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.551414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-74.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1495…d3f9backed Connecticut Sun31c515.87$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.311127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf709…7697backed Connecticut Sun15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Connecticut Sun10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013422.4%30 W · 104 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Connecticut Sun10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Connecticut Sun16c499.36$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3518844.1%83 W · 105 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed Connecticut Sun31c481.41$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-66.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Atlanta Dream65c460.91$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.911145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Connecticut Sun21c449.9$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.274831.3%15 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa177…4b0dbacked Connecticut Sun15c406.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Connecticut Sun37c390.99$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7230347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Atlanta Dream52c366.61$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.967050%35 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Connecticut Sun18c349.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.711840.7%48 W · 70 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Connecticut Sun18c334.18$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60908.9%8 W · 82 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-54%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Connecticut Sun14c330.29$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4fe…b350backed Connecticut Sun14c320$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.45942.4%25 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ef9…6e00backed Connecticut Sun13c312.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-64.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Atlanta Dream76c305.57$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2513844.9%62 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Connecticut Sun18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8eb6…8e13backed Connecticut Sun35c277.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.121435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1435backed Atlanta Dream56c270$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.053243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Connecticut Sun11c260.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.667240.3%29 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed Connecticut Sun12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308550.6%43 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Sun15c245.9$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.011,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Connecticut Sun29c237.93$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689635.4%34 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8443…2988backed Connecticut Sun11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-46%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Connecticut Sun9c226.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6834753.9%187 W · 160 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Connecticut Sun23c225.44$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2419031.1%59 W · 131 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Connecticut Sun17c224.6$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2119646.9%92 W · 104 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Connecticut Sun22c223.46$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0916633.1%55 W · 111 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked Connecticut Sun18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c30…34f5backed Atlanta Dream80c187.19$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.722965.5%19 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Connecticut Sun34c184$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.92152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Atlanta Dream77c169.44$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.441758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab30…88dbbacked Atlanta Dream62c162.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…9bf9backed Connecticut Sun31c161.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Connecticut Sun10c160.92$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.095444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f9…45a7backed Atlanta Dream75c156.72$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.734365.1%28 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Atlanta Dream71c153.21$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9361042.5%259 W · 351 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Connecticut Sun10c151.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.073528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Connecticut Sun10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159651%49 W · 47 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b59…5e72backed Atlanta Dream68c148.98$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.98955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+96.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Atlanta Dream71c147.57$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.72846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff8c…142ebacked Connecticut Sun21c138.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.44955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed Connecticut Sun11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffdc…ce87backed Atlanta Dream75c134.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.051080%8 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e0a…e207backed Connecticut Sun12c130.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-43.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Connecticut Sun10c127$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.77759.7%46 W · 31 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe352…d0f5backed Connecticut Sun18c123.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Connecticut Sun20c121.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.036237.1%23 W · 39 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-33.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe5e9…3166backed Connecticut Sun15c117.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.561741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Connecticut Sun25c114.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0216745.5%76 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Connecticut Sun19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202560%15 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf338…4514backed Atlanta Dream68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e4f…d073backed Connecticut Sun15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x352b…abd8backed Connecticut Sun10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103426.5%9 W · 25 L-6.0wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-37.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Connecticut Sun10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014136.2%51 W · 90 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Connecticut Sun33c99.02$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7724852.4%130 W · 118 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Connecticut Sun37c96.12$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4419245.8%88 W · 104 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7268…78abbacked Connecticut Sun35c85.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.011637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Connecticut Sun25c82.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9431847.8%152 W · 166 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb5d…0b85backed Atlanta Dream67c77.24$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.17633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-49.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Connecticut Sun21c77.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.341147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Connecticut Sun23c70$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.163852.6%20 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Connecticut Sun45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309355.9%52 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Connecticut Sun22c66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3313143.5%57 W · 74 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Connecticut Sun23c61.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.055364.2%34 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.