TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb8ab…e495

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.79
LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffsbacked mCon esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+113%+$72.79
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.34
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$55.53
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)backed Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.37
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$341
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$341.09
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs LGD Gaming (+2.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$795.49
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.17
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$195.86
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+111.1%+$116.67
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+187.9%+$365.27
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$199
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+142.1%+$278.25
Game Handicap: NIP (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.85
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+161.2%+$79.01
All 23 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-47%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.01
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.92
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$545.06
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$311.49
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+91%+$454.87
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$574.62
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.47
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.64
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.74
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.45
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.48
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-58%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.42
Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.83
Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$49.61
Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$236.02
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$527.23
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Libertybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.58
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$563.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.