TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Washington Mysticsof Chicago Sky, Washington Mystics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$377,893
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$425,217

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $377,893 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Chicago Sky47c33,745$15,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,988.0622748.5%110 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Chicago Sky60c24,965$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0003745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Washington Mystics48c24,236$11,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,692.752133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Washington Mystics42c19,643$8,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,484.9199548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Chicago Sky52c16,211$8,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,355.4236154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Mystics47c15,199$7,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,117.8123245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Chicago Sky53c15,000$7,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,949.984766%31 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Washington Mystics47c14,951$7,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,930.8311545.2%52 W · 63 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Sky54c11,790$6,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,326.6340550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Washington Mystics50c7,936$3,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,947.0423049.6%114 W · 116 L-13.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Chicago Sky14c7,900$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1129318.3%17 W · 76 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Chicago Sky53c7,489$3,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,969.2114450.7%73 W · 71 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Washington Mystics45c6,297$2,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,463.34540%18 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Chicago Sky55c6,010$3,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,304.5113746%63 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Chicago Sky50c5,879$2,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,934.5113950.4%70 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Washington Mystics48c5,480$2,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,834.8131043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics52c4,950$2,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,354.231,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Chicago Sky53c4,818$2,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,553.6210338.8%40 W · 63 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96a9…e073backed Washington Mystics46c4,354$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.472941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Chicago Sky52c4,335$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,260.45250%26 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Chicago Sky58c4,174$2,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,436.6510463.5%66 W · 38 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Chicago Sky49c4,158$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.6429654.4%161 W · 135 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Chicago Sky6c4,101$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.063432.4%11 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Chicago Sky53c3,835$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,051.1410151.5%52 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Washington Mystics46c3,755$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.435050%25 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc638…e298backed Chicago Sky54c3,519$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9004245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Washington Mystics47c3,500$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8554438.6%17 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Washington Mystics56c3,500$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5401573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+45.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Chicago Sky56c3,463$1,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.464847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Chicago Sky44c3,299$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.466549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Washington Mystics47c3,200$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68311250%56 W · 56 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Sky34c3,104$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.4585158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Washington Mystics68c2,950$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9447259.7%43 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Washington Mystics37c2,949$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.751457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Washington Mystics45c2,688$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.7226247.7%125 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Chicago Sky49c2,500$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2358348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Chicago Sky1c2,272$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.12624.8%3 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Chicago Sky10c2,195$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.642951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Washington Mystics62c2,108$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.7650646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Washington Mystics47c2,088$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.7413538.5%52 W · 83 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Chicago Sky52c2,072$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.815259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Washington Mystics47c2,057$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.456956.5%39 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Chicago Sky54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Chicago Sky54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.974546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Washington Mystics45c1,911$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Chicago Sky24c1,637$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Chicago Sky53c1,630$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Chicago Sky63c1,585$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005466.7%36 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Washington Mystics73c1,569$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.6215250.7%77 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Washington Mystics65c1,482$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.46966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Mystics47c1,437$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.5446247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Sky32c1,426$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.151,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Chicago Sky53c1,422$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.8614346.2%66 W · 77 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Washington Mystics47c1,413$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.354854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Washington Mystics51c1,368$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.775044%22 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Mystics49c1,185$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.7819458.2%113 W · 81 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Washington Mystics65c1,171$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.715257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Washington Mystics39c1,114$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.2212045%54 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Washington Mystics47c1,106$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.386051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Washington Mystics51c1,082$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.484652.2%24 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Washington Mystics48c1,072$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.6337650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Chicago Sky54c1,062$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.422152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Washington Mystics49c1,021$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.675862.1%36 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Chicago Sky21c1,015$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.7319428.9%56 W · 138 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Chicago Sky17c1,010$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.74027.5%11 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x941f…bac9backed Chicago Sky19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19050%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Washington Mystics46c999.95$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.9714060%84 W · 56 L+13.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Washington Mystics46c978.26$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.266237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bef…5e49backed Washington Mystics49c945.98$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Chicago Sky54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004951%25 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e93…eb10backed Washington Mystics66c909.09$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.09366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Chicago Sky49c899.99$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4411560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Washington Mystics47c852.87$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.024669.6%32 W · 14 L+10.7wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+44.1%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Washington Mystics61c815.77$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.7722967.7%155 W · 74 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed Washington Mystics68c800$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-51.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Chicago Sky21c777.04$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.75538.2%21 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf807…c5dcbacked Washington Mystics65c775.1$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.281717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-68.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Washington Mystics47c770$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.11258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15dd…11dbbacked Washington Mystics46c740.74$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-74.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Washington Mystics48c704.79$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.292347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98ac…7828backed Chicago Sky36c654.51$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xceca…4800backed Washington Mystics47c626.7$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.153762.2%23 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Washington Mystics64c574.47$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4910552.4%55 W · 50 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Chicago Sky51c565$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.1821446.3%99 W · 115 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Chicago Sky3c553.09$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.59390%0 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Washington Mystics62c538.87$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.0520947.4%99 W · 110 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Washington Mystics46c530.43$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.439549.5%47 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a03…a455backed Washington Mystics44c508.19$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Chicago Sky30c500.83$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2138744.7%173 W · 214 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Washington Mystics45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2751428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Washington Mystics47c499.99$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Chicago Sky54c499.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.991752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Washington Mystics66c499.97$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.993732.4%12 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Chicago Sky60c491.8$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.0810144.6%45 W · 56 L-13.5wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Chicago Sky54c452.11$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.1432743.7%143 W · 184 L-23.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Washington Mystics63c450.52$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.696758.2%39 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Chicago Sky52c435.8$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.6214353.8%77 W · 66 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0972…9d1ebacked Washington Mystics46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.782661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fba…26dcbacked Washington Mystics46c434$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.361080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+34.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Washington Mystics70c429$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.462152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.