WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x743173894eea6f5a295347c15a186bd3b0ed67304135e53fdbb9aa5af9078aeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Washington Mystics, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 2,331$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.55 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 1,050$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Sky | 55c | 672.23$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.2 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 608.69$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.78 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Chicago Sky | 48c | 516.75$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.04 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 458.02$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.91 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 406.21$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.04 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Chicago Sky | 61c | 328.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 281.42$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.01 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Washington Mystics | 38c | 164.45$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 142.92$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 127$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Sky | 56c | 117.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.15 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Chicago Sky | 55c | 116.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Washington Mystics | 43c | 114.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.18 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Chicago Sky | 57c | 109.16$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 81.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 67.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e15…bdb2backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 67.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 65.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 56.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 50.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…7e33backed Washington Mystics | 42c | 50.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Chicago Sky | 56c | 49.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacfc…f2fdbacked Washington Mystics | 42c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e0…88a5backed Chicago Sky | 57c | 40.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Washington Mystics | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Chicago Sky | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Chicago Sky | 56c | 26.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -6.3wins | -0.37per pick | 43cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Chicago Sky | 58c | 25.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Chicago Sky | 59c | 21.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…accebacked Chicago Sky | 57c | 20.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 160.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 161.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 163.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 164.5Under won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.