WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b9cb8a6ea93f5a14042d08ea17240a12880b16408a2c2deba8d62e55a41a73f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Washington Mystics, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea48…c596backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 11,922$5,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,481.59 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Sky | 54c | 7,871$4,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,252.41 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Washington Mystics | 44c | 6,688$2,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,745.22 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Chicago Sky | 56c | 6,554$3,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,670.24 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 2,723$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.99 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 1,967$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 1,272$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.03 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 702.8$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.54 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Washington Mystics | 62c | 469.61$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.71 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 399.8$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.89 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 366.67$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…b7debacked Washington Mystics | 45c | 218.22$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 202$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.64 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Chicago Sky | 54c | 178.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Chicago Sky | 52c | 167.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.35 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Washington Mystics | 68c | 146.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Chicago Sky | 53c | 126.46$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Sky | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 119.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Chicago Sky | 57c | 113.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 105.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Washington Mystics | 43c | 103.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.14 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…6da4backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc78a…fae0backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 99.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chicago Sky | 54c | 97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 91.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 65.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 65.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Chicago Sky | 55c | 63.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 58.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…d0a8backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 58.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 58.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 58.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 58.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…effbbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 58.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Chicago Sky | 56c | 56.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Sky | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacfc…f2fdbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x254f…2fb8backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 38.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Chicago Sky | 31c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Chicago Sky | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7190…3138backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 29.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 28.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 27.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 20.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Chicago Sky | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 160.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 161.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 163.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 164.5Under won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.