TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x699c…b7de

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 54 out of 100; worst Euroleague at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT5347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$66.25
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$197.34
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.69
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.72
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.47
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.93
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.97
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.12
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.28
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.64
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.06
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.53
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.89
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$142.93
Spread: Hornets (-17.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.67
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$68.2
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.96
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$57.64
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.03
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$82
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.2
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.78
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+141%+$170.29
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.92
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shanxi Loongsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$60.68
Basquet Club Andorra vs. Bilbao Basketbacked Bilbao Basket · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$65.15
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Tianjin Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Beijing Royal Fightersbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.69
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Shanxi Loongsbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.25
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+125.8%+$88.04
Basquet Club Andorra vs. Basket Zaragozabacked Basket Zaragoza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Manresa vs. La Laguna Tenerifebacked La Laguna Tenerife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$58.33
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Saski Baskoniabacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$50.53
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+58.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-55.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.01
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.25
Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+122.4%+$120.11
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.07
Washington Mystics vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.02
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dayton Flyers vs. UNCW Seahawksbacked UNCW Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.75
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$65.42
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Toledo Rocketsbacked Bowling Green Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.77
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$55.27
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$45.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$42.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+343.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+343.7%+$68.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+81.8%+$41.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open, Qualification: Ignacio Buse vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Urawa Red Diamonds vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.