TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,133,160
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,222,837

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,133,160 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 643 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8372…5223backed Yes51c140,000$71,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,399.946857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes51c88,734$45,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,381.021,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No49c72,693$35,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,073.4110057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked No49c67,001$32,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,170.633661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes51c65,592$33,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,327.228242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked No49c60,000$29,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,8001250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No47c59,825$28,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,707.187750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c50,178$26,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,916.456,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Yes52c44,892$23,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,343.786142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x90a1…73d6backed No54c36,819$19,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,820.351464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No49c27,010$13,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,840.2624146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No47c21,546$10,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,419.363759.5%22 W · 15 L+7.3wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+47.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes53c20,000$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,599.992339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Yes51c20,000$10,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,279.86540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33e4…5017backed No47c19,842$9,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,515.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No48c18,198$8,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,470.4512847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb529…ad06backed No49c17,000$8,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,7404748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No49c15,921$7,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,119.529856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No49c15,816$7,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,066.331457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No48c14,979$7,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,798.2485048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No49c14,340$7,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,286.7851750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes53c14,141$7,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,488.295752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No49c13,785$6,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,067.252,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes52c13,169$6,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,797.3930143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No48c12,015$5,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,247.83351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No49c12,000$5,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,15015944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Yes52c12,000$6,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,240650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes53c11,509$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1004656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes58c10,000$5,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,799.474148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.997542.7%32 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No53c9,958$5,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,729.112,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No51c9,672$4,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,749.1821253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed No50c9,662$4,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,865.675536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd98…de71backed Yes53c9,500$5,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,03520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked No49c8,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,080.214944.9%22 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No49c7,759$3,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,957.1810236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No47c7,674$3,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,067.223060%18 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+59%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Yes53c6,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1505442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No49c6,000$2,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,09015748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes54c6,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,24020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Yes48c6,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8801050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+56.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b34…c545backed Yes36c5,145$1,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.664037.5%15 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+51.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Yes3c5,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes53c4,990$2,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,631.291,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x499f…ccafbacked Yes36c4,444$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6002245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No48c4,260$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.611,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No68c4,189$2,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.712157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes42c4,040$1,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.7977336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed No49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0402951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.9718362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No49c3,600$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,85210743%46 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No63c3,436$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.771,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No49c3,337$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.8725544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2809…b26abacked No49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5304252.4%22 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes52c2,990$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55515757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes60c2,910$1,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.3636954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No49c2,846$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.3384549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked No47c2,815$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.42277.3%17 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+29.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No47c2,806$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.176550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes52c2,761$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.531,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No47c2,500$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked No49c2,493$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.162665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.6wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+41.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked No47c2,444$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.323138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x069c…c844backed Yes54c2,436$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.141526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes8c2,348$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.212,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9913…21cfbacked Yes45c2,235$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+36.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.9149254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No49c2,146$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.2252454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7806543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017042.9%73 W · 97 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10013834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xec6e…2a01backed No47c1,926$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.531030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes53c1,885$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00035134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes54c1,854$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed No51c1,795$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.5512454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No57c1,791$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.68153.1%43 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No49c1,737$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.7310246.1%47 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes39c1,700$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.1696645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021d…6502backed No50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8003100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No48c1,551$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.479272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No49c1,524$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.2313151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2350…570ebacked Yes38c1,511$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5692828.6%8 W · 20 L-6.8wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-53.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xab7e…9e98backed Yes50c1,450$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7251060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No49c1,338$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.5510951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes53c1,312$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.275850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf2…76f0backed Yes50c1,300$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb700…b06bbacked Yes52c1,275$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6631330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes8c1,225$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9825225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f79…8be3backed No50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd39b…8dc6backed Yes50c1,150$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-63%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes35c1,137$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.8616548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Yes53c1,058$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.581435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed No48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.777433.8%25 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8b0…dcd6backed Yes62c1,005$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.49540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+90.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.0190751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b6b…103bbacked Yes51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No49c999.93$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9616050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e13…cbffbacked Yes51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.