TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$193,379
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$191,037

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,379 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes27c66,220$17,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,993.391643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+42.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No73c44,625$32,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,048.7410057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No72c14,550$10,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,062.592,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No73c12,651$9,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,415.899856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c12,483$3,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,370.531,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No67c9,113$6,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,007.3338649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No73c7,691$5,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,098.672,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes29c4,373$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2507732.5%25 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c4,018$2,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.441,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed No71c3,907$2,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.141060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes28c3,571$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes28c2,993$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.1113939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No72c2,962$2,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.0452454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x702b…dedebacked Yes27c2,844$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7681915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe427…c02bbacked Yes27c2,570$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6941040%4 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes2c2,549$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.522040.5%89 W · 131 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No73c2,500$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No72c2,500$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.9816050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No75c2,388$1,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.654,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c2,377$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.356,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No73c2,100$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56756453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.996759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes27c1,660$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.8768942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40519729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No72c1,500$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42013151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No72c1,500$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42010951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked No66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5103764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes28c1,414$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.7884549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes28c1,236$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.6275850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed Yes28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No79c1,062$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.4346943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes28c1,019$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.3238233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d93…6d63backed Yes28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e62…312abacked Yes28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2806829.4%20 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No69c908.01$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.9896445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Yes41c900$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.241643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005328.3%15 W · 38 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes22c773.62$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.6111430.7%35 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009451.1%48 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc4…b0b5backed Yes27c723.15$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a77…2afcbacked Yes28c642.86$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes27c640.74$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1736233.9%21 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Yes27c638.77$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.012339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No73c627.64$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.4361143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d5e…faefbacked Yes28c624.36$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa29c…74d9backed Yes27c612.39$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No72c600$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16830050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1131…6181backed Yes28c583.26$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes27c569.15$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.6724146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf5c…ec1cbacked Yes28c563.25$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80a1…68bfbacked Yes28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes27c534.57$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.331,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14096443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes27c469$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.564440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…d271backed Yes28c463.28$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes27c451$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.7710626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb0…4488backed Yes28c442.86$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1245050%25 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x214d…f5aabacked Yes29c435.47$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.11757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes23c435$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006136.1%22 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad10…fc07backed Yes28c426.32$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1baa…0b7fbacked No73c412.95$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.54100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No72c406.21$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9232453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2d4…7d90backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002035%7 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7014…41eebacked Yes30c399.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes28c379.79$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.342941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+34.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b8b…95e3backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-52%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012143%52 W · 69 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011223.2%26 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd305…04b3backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x142e…f6e4backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No72c355.69$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.591,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde5d…e2d7backed Yes42c350.62$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes16c349.27$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3431747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes30c334.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No75c321.17$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7536954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes33c314.82$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1142324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes27c301.31$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3527141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873650%18 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked No79c284$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0211549.6%57 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes27c278.41$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1712236.1%44 W · 78 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes27c274.27$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2558446.1%269 W · 315 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes29c270.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5977236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0e…bb40backed Yes19c266.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-61.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76bc…db0abacked Yes27c259.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701050%5 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+119.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab9f…3b3cbacked No72c245$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.61866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f5e…f840backed No73c224.23$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9f1…c92bbacked No73c222.71$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.13366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cef…3cd4backed No73c222.4$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.05475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+104.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes26c221.95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7115233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked No73c219.18$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1823350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes28c214.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes28c214.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603125.8%8 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x529f…ffd4backed Yes28c211.26$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.542821.4%6 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe8b…4154backed Yes19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick36cpaid+50.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a43…8352backed No73c201.44$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5819235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.