TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xab9f…3b3c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
149
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT5756.1%32 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.8
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$196.86
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.53
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.45
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$96.9
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$96.9
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100.98
Pelicans vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$71.5
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$54.27
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$68.67
Team World vs. Team USA Stripesbacked Team World · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$119.4
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$96.93
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+26.6%+$63.84
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+37%+$49.27
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$99.45
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$141.37
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$146.88
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$11.4
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+117.4%+$45.9
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$81.12
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$86.95
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+85.2%+$195.04
Spread: Clippers (-10.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$31.11
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$382.79
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$68.6
Will Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$73.5
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$94.94
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$67.24
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$107.73
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$96.75
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$39.6
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100%+$97.5
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+58.7%+$96.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+170.3%+$246.33
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$238.15
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$64.89
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$96.2
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$96.66
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$144
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+156.4%+$97.6
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$95.88
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$46.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+35.1%+$22.62
Navy vs. Cincinnatibacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+37%+$35.77
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$33.75
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.36
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$105.11
USC vs. TCUbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$83.1
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Techbacked Louisiana Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+33.3%+$21.5
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian Statebacked Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+35.1%+$20.8
Penn State vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$26.08
Central Michigan vs. Northwesternbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+26.6%+$35.59
California vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+92.3%+$21.6
Toledo vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+31.6%+$19.2
Washington State vs. Utah Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20.83
Spread: Ole Miss (-17.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.84
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$62.76
Missouri State vs. Arkansas Statebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensbacked Louisiana-Lafayette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$76.18
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$84.18
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23.04
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$85.36
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+173.6%+$49.49
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$37.88
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+25%+$16.7
Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+100%+$40
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$25.27
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$47.97
Falcons vs. Cardinalsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+69.5%+$52.48
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30.82
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+117.4%+$25.65
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.71
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.14
Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+122.2%+$95.7
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22.78
Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.6%+$93.72
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.63
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+47.6%+$26.76
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$18.86
Connecticut Huskies vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+51.5%+$22.78
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+7.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-61.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+150%+$35.4
Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO3)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12.24
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.14
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuelabacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.78
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$99.96
Final Stage: Italy vs. Puerto Ricobacked Puerto Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.16
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.18
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Devils vs. Utahbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+127.3%+$25.09
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$241.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight go the distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+28.2%+$16.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+25%+$43.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.