Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe536cd0abedc280dfcc3a7a27e54db45416e92847e9cf32e2ab771a9b62dd1e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabama Crimson Tideof Kentucky Wildcats, Alabama Crimson Tide
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 7c | 12,922$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.93 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 75c | 3,834$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.55 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 66c | 3,672$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.8 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kentucky Wildcats | 4c | 2,969$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.45 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Kentucky Wildcats | 3c | 2,832$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 35c | 2,567$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.28 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kentucky Wildcats | 9c | 1,900$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.59 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 34c | 1,726$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.84 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 74c | 837.25$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.64 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 4c | 601.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 94 | 12.8%12 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Kentucky Wildcats | 33c | 588.17$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 68c | 535.76$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.87 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 35c | 329.29$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.25 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…6dd0backed Kentucky Wildcats | 31c | 293.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Kentucky Wildcats | 28c | 264.46$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Kentucky Wildcats | 32c | 203$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Kentucky Wildcats | 33c | 200.64$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 70c | 198.96$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0d…081bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 66c | 142.85$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Kentucky Wildcats | 11c | 142.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 79c | 134.28$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 62c | 125$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 32c | 105$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kentucky Wildcats | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b1…e667backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 79c | 98.61$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 66c | 56.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kentucky Wildcats | 34c | 50.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Kentucky Wildcats | 23c | 43.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa848…68fcbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 68c | 42.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 68c | 39.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…3b3cbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 69c | 37.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…5f41backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 65c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…03c5backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x830f…1c47backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +409%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 76c | 18.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Alabama Crimson Tidethis page
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 172.5Under won
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 174.5Under won
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 175.5Under won
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-4.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-5.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.