Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaef6de598bc1b27d3d7e2dc2bb1ae916da7002ef5254205b4fefe24d3baf3880
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabama Crimson Tideof Alabama Crimson Tide, Kentucky Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $831,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $832,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $831,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Kentucky Wildcats | 54c | 774,475$414,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414,766.45 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 47c | 257,404$120,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136,424.13 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 250,000$115,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135,000 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 174,691$80,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,333.25 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 52c | 48,280$25,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,188.64 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 47c | 43,800$20,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,214 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 48c | 24,490$11,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,721.41 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 47c | 21,109$9,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,121.63 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 47c | 15,111$7,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,008.89 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 48c | 10,422$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,421.19 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 47c | 8,454$3,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480.54 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Kentucky Wildcats | 51c | 5,300$2,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.97 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 47c | 5,042$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.99 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 47c | 4,370$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.1 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 47c | 3,722$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.59 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 47c | 1,648$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.44 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 57c | 873.39$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.67 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 47c | 700$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 48c | 506.25$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.25 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Kentucky Wildcats | 52c | 462.29$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.39 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 48c | 392.85$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.04 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 48c | 345.83$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.83 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 280$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…867fbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 49c | 258$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 48c | 253.82$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 48c | 229.4$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.4 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Kentucky Wildcats | 50c | 226$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…23d8backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 48c | 188.69$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 48c | 114.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 48c | 80.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Kentucky Wildcats | 48c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 53c | 48.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x206a…e438backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 48c | 46.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Kentucky Wildcats | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…922abacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 48c | 38.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd440…a32ebacked Kentucky Wildcats | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Kentucky Wildcats | 54c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00de…ec1fbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 48c | 32.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 48c | 31.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 50c | 21.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…12d7backed Kentucky Wildcats | 50c | 21.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…5cd6backed Kentucky Wildcats | 53c | 20.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…12bdbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-5.5)this page
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Alabama Crimson TideAlabama Crimson Tide won
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 172.5Under won
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 174.5Under won
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 175.5Under won
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-4.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.