TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf13b…9ef9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,090
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT49053.7%263 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 490 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$15.54
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.44
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.84
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.65
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.87
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.36
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+80.1%+$19.27
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+52%+$6.27
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.03
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+131.3%+$33.83
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$29.64
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+139.7%+$19.15
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$23.07
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+92.1%+$20.91
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+112%+$19.91
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$13.52
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.27
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.53
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.1
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$74.88
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$93.41
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+134.7%+$19.22
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Showing 25 of 490 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT21753%115 W · 102 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 217 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.06
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.63
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.62
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$108.32
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$100.68
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$94.42
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$75.32
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$34.77
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.14
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.45
Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$64.75
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.25
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.65
Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$76.55
Spread: Raptors (-14.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.8
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.88
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.32
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$40.33
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.82
Spread: Bulls (-3.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$47.53
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$89.94
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.8
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$71.74
Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$98.5
Showing 25 of 217 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT19657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 196 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Grand Canyon Antelopes (-3.5)backed Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$58.5
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-5.5)backed Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$76.52
USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$99.92
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-6.5)backed South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+121.5%+$78.36
Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-2.5)backed UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$89.76
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Long Beach State Beach: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$57.6
Weber State Wildcats vs. Montana State Bobcats: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$109.99
Weber State Wildcats vs. Montana State Bobcats: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Boston College Eagles vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$57.58
Rider Broncs vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Spread: Bethune-Cookman Wildcats (-7.5)backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Air Force Falcons vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$56.4
Spread: Jacksonville Dolphins (-2.5)backed Jacksonville Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Nicholls Colonels vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lions: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Houston Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$110.82
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$33.15
Spread: Wright State Raiders (-2.5)backed Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$51.15
Spread: Towson Tigers (-7.5)backed North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$88.66
Towson Tigers vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Charleston Cougars (-3.5)backed Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$78.68
Showing 25 of 196 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST9950.5%50 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$35.58
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.8%+$50.27
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+108.1%+$118.9
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$30.24
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+99.9%+$101.92
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$86.86
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$15.95
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$29.11
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16.26
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+57.1%+$51.5
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$34.97
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+92%+$33.37
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+54.1%+$13.45
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$21.76
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$114.47
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$48.09
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$42.41
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100.4
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$51.28
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.38
Spread: Jaguars (-12.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+92.2%+$75.89
Spread: Falcons (-3.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$90.2
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+137.3%+$85.66
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$90.61
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST3066.7%20 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+98%+$20.73
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$114.99
Spread: Navy (-7.5)backed Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+108.3%+$115.95
Spread: Texas State (-17.5)backed Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.29
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42%+$28.92
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+61.3%+$37.26
Spread: Vanderbilt (-3.5)backed Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+89%+$92.53
Spread: Georgia Southern (-7.5)backed Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Spread: Pittsburgh (-9.5)backed East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+118.2%+$50.8
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Spread: Northwestern (-12.5)backed Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$49.97
California vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+92.1%+$22.02
Spread: UNLV Runnin' (-6.5)backed Ohio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+93.5%+$74.22
Western Kentucky vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$40.36
Washington State vs. Utah Statebacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+100.6%+$192.67
Spread: Oregon (-21.5)backed James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$86.42
Spread: Texas A&M (-3.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+78.6%+$132
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Spread: North Carolina State (-3.5)backed Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$42.21
Kennesaw State vs. Western Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+63.9%+$38.36
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+163.2%+$63.81
Vanderbilt vs. Tennesseebacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Oregon vs. Washingtonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+45.5%+$36.38
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-56.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$5.61
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.63
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$10.15
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.22
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.71
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.18
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.79
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+246%+$81.12
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.39
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.72
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+43.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politicslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$98.54
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+64%+$65.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+156.4%+$172.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$34.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$58.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.