MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad979e61f088c7145aee00e18135312290aa4220b68db7bf2a6b14090d6115f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,939,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,839,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,939,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked New York Yankees | 58c | 900,253$521,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379,027.89 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 431,257$182,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182,440.57 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eaf…a3a1backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 100,000$42,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 65,810$26,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,982.02 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 63,983$27,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,180.38 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 53,834$22,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,674 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 49,843$20,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,934.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 40,882$17,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,170.49 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 40,000$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,800 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 31,108$13,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,677.4 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 22,222$9,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,333.24 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 15,054$6,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,469.46 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 11,503$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 10,177$4,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,274.37 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 56c | 8,348$4,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,703.92 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 7,945$3,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,451.66 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed New York Yankees | 54c | 7,484$4,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,442.68 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 6,125$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.45 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 5,999$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716.14 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed New York Yankees | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 77c | 4,389$3,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.87 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 3,626$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.96 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked New York Yankees | 55c | 3,233$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.88 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed New York Yankees | 55c | 2,729$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.93 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed New York Yankees | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.27 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed New York Yankees | 56c | 2,677$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.1 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…23c9backed New York Yankees | 54c | 2,600$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.98 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 2,595$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.23 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed New York Yankees | 58c | 2,409$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.2 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 2,251$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.66 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed New York Yankees | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.58 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 1,699$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.55 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 1,667$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.14 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 1,429$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.55 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 1,388$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.18 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 1,239$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.07 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 1,145$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.32 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 1,114$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.36 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,046$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.79 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 999.99$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.58 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 993.02$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.96 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed New York Yankees | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 10c | 894$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 833.3$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.01 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 822.27$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.58 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 718.01$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.52 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked New York Yankees | 80c | 609.01$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.21 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 551.98$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.94 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 550$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.5 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…f60abacked New York Yankees | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed New York Yankees | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed New York Yankees | 55c | 499.5$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.19 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked New York Yankees | 56c | 445.36$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.01 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 431.8$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.31 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 423.49$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.71 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 399.97$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bd…b053backed New York Yankees | 58c | 393.73$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.02 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed New York Yankees | 55c | 375.06$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.78 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae78…acafbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…d412backed New York Yankees | 55c | 339.98$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 310.76$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.93 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed New York Yankees | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 299.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cincinnati Reds | 15c | 296.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Cincinnati Reds | 18c | 282.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 275.24$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.36 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 273.81$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…dda4backed New York Yankees | 55c | 273$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked New York Yankees | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed New York Yankees | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 197 | 54.8%108 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe69d…dfa0backed New York Yankees | 55c | 272.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…9ea9backed New York Yankees | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 235.44$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 217.58$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.91 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed New York Yankees | 56c | 214.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.28 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed New York Yankees | 59c | 212.08$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 206 | 57.8%119 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e8…46c5backed New York Yankees | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 206.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a8…4287backed New York Yankees | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…b01fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 12c | 188.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed New York Yankees | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 180$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…295abacked New York Yankees | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…1ddabacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 178.1$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed New York Yankees | 53c | 177.36$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.36 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked New York Yankees | 60c | 175$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf029…b1c7backed New York Yankees | 58c | 173.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked New York Yankees | 53c | 168.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 222 | 57.7%128 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 12.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.