TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa9a0…c52b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
330
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Commodities, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT23145.5%105 W · 126 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 231 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$73.33
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.97
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$129.13
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$231
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$86.67
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.02
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$147.69
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$93.85
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$53.1
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 231 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT5435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.25
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Ferybacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.74
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Ferybacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.18
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$90.21
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.63
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Novak Djokovicbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublikbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$97.71
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+47%+$39.92
Wimbledon ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$45.67
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$127.64
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Novak Djokovicbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.88
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
Wimbledon ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Wimbledon ATP: Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Wimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou Bergsbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT3540%14 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$49.81
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$79.68
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 2 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+134%+$241.18
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+234.3%+$421.73
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+100.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+115.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$79.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.