MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf8d42e19f3e3f752bbee04e98f44c1bb8c1f9c375a29c780d7fb5c40dc02ba8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Atlanta Braves, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 64c | 9,230$5,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.26 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…4201backed Atlanta Braves | 32c | 5,908$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.28 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 3,659$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 57c | 2,922$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.72 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets | 70c | 2,670$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.86 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 2,176$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.13 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.16 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 1,063$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.57 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 875.52$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.74 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed New York Mets | 54c | 601.16$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.75 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Mets | 53c | 596$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.29 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 430.43$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves | 33c | 394.68$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.24 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked New York Mets | 60c | 290.39$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.74 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 54c | 288.13$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.54 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecf8…74d2backed Atlanta Braves | 21c | 250.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Mets | 61c | 231$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 22c | 201.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 190.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed New York Mets | 54c | 189.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 180$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…2fbabacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 172.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 147.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed New York Mets | 66c | 132.8$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Atlanta Braves | 33c | 129$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…fcfbbacked New York Mets | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 97.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed New York Mets | 52c | 92.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed New York Mets | 55c | 90.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked New York Mets | 55c | 89.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 53c | 63.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Atlanta Braves | 33c | 60.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked New York Mets | 62c | 59.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…9e7bbacked New York Mets | 55c | 47.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed New York Mets | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 44.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Mets | 54c | 44.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 43.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 42.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…9c66backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 41.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed New York Mets | 54c | 37.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…9e39backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed New York Mets | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked New York Mets | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed New York Mets | 51c | 26.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 26.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 26.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c76…6e88backed New York Mets | 62c | 24.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed New York Mets | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44be…76b1backed New York Mets | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed New York Mets | 56c | 19.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked New York Mets | 66c | 15.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York MetsAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. New York MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.