TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35fa…2bd4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
390
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 62 out of 100; worst NFL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT17348%83 W · 90 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 173 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.1
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$899.6
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$59.2
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$79.2
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.16
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.99
Washington Nationals vs. New York Metsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.9
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$320
Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$106.4
Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$105.3
Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.6
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.8
Athletics vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$107.3
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.2
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.2
San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$315
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$106.6
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.8
San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.8
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.4
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.1
Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$212.8
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$105.3
Showing 25 of 173 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT6046.7%28 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+1,028.8%+$2,734.17
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.68
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.14
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+192.2%+$1,052.48
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$172.38
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,478.9%+$4,683.15
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$268
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,269Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,268.51
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$503.5
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10,914Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,914.02
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$325.86
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Mavericks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$20.1
Mavericks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$20.05
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$56.91
Kings vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+38.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$592
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$161.04
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+100%+$650
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,025Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+46.3%+$475
Will Russia capture Siversk by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$399.99
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$984.99
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+35.8%+$158.06
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+372.3%+$1,182.43
Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,017.5
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$1,859.85
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,103Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+114%+$2,396.99
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+55.2%+$373.5
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$306
Will Russia capture Siversk by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$401.99
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,460
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.38
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$750.1
Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$393
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will Trump meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$185.09
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+41.3%+$63.15
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+82.6%+$255.71
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.22per pick26cpaid+84.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,110.45
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,818Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,817.81
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,727Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,727.46
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+138.1%+$580
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,720Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+187.6%+$3,227.14
Will XRP dip to $1.40 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$490
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$289.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+418.5%+$5,649.9
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,243.23
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$694Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$693.83
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+257.6%+$3,915.78
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+718.2%+$1,755.47
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,912Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+318.4%+$6,088.22
Will Bitcoin dip to $106k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,179Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+493.8%+$5,820.89
Will Bitcoin dip to $108k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+361.8%+$2,350.71
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$790
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$680
Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,489.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $103K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$212.5
Will XRP reach $3.60 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$554.91
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$520
Will Bitcoin reach $110K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$856Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+48.5%+$414.5
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$793Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$792.58
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.63
Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$46.45
Will Warsh say "Dual Mandate" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Will Powell say "Affordability" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.91
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Powell say "Successor" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$258
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.49
Will Powell say "Speculate" or "Speculation" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$830
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$3,405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$3,404.72
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,729.99
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$719.76
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 25+ times during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+34.4%+$25.59
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.14
Will Powell say "Update" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$97
Will Powell say "Sorry" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+35.7%+$115.7
Will Powell say "Variable" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+46.3%+$74.4
Will Powell say "Possibility" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+47.3%+$65.8
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$105.6
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,130
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.5
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,070
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$183
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$755Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$755
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$7,768Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,768.3
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Will Ivory Coast be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.25
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.9
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.99
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$89
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$126
All 19 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+46%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,675Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$825
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.89
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,922Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+210%+$4,036
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,794Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,793.99
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,081Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,080.79
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$251.88
Yoon arrested before September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,763Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,762.64
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$4,150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+430.1%+$17,849.67
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,516Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+167.8%+$2,542.44
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+103.2%+$1,037.54
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick37cpaid-81.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$910Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$910
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$127.17
Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$256.96
Will Jonathan Taylor win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$578.44
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$650
Spread: Bills (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Spread: Colts (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
Spread: Colts (-6.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$98
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+87.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Working Class" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Trump say "Grocery" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+564.3%+$165.48
Will Trump say "Affordability" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+384.2%+$358.01
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,664Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+31.4%+$836.27
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$701.74
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$155
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Canada before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$48
Will anyone say "Sanctuary City" during the 2nd Democratic Mayoral Primary on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$11
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-59.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$859Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$859.38
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$892Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$892.42
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Bruins vs. Flyersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Golden Knights vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Devils vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-58.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-47.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$534.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,823Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.4%+$1,798.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$261.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Red Bull finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$68.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Huskies vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$56.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$310
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.