Ukraine · resolved market
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14a5086aa913c7146d1b532b67482eb0b652f13de41ad939259bd2084f1afe5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,575,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,386,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,575,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 410 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ff6…72aebacked Yes | 12c | 323,566$39,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,625.79 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d73…ad14backed Yes | 42c | 103,091$43,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,698.92 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9f…2661backed Yes | 6c | 76,300$4,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,298.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4a…4500backed Yes | 9c | 69,144$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…4f80backed Yes | 11c | 55,616$5,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,936.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed No | 79c | 36,264$28,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,488.41 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 8c | 28,711$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.57 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8834…d285backed No | 72c | 26,526$19,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,338.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…635cbacked Yes | 43c | 23,621$10,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,132.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…41bcbacked Yes | 43c | 22,612$9,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,815.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed No | 57c | 21,327$12,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,126.67 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec55…a300backed Yes | 18c | 21,272$3,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,737.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d1fdbacked Yes | 62c | 18,784$11,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,598.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b3…6486backed No | 59c | 16,947$9,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,948.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11b…cf6bbacked Yes | 55c | 16,454$8,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 4c | 16,013$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.44 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aaa…f8c9backed No | 75c | 15,939$11,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,951.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…cc49backed No | 55c | 14,648$8,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,551.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked No | 71c | 14,077$10,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,045.23 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 20c | 13,788$2,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736.96 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…e446backed No | 48c | 13,603$6,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,055.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…d224backed Yes | 11c | 12,104$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 73c | 12,000$8,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.41 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…8bf1backed Yes | 9c | 11,089$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.33 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed No | 70c | 10,895$7,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.57 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 9c | 10,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52bc…38f6backed Yes | 10c | 9,919$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed No | 49c | 9,349$4,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,731.88 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…a1aebacked Yes | 13c | 8,552$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 77c | 8,372$6,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.11 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed No | 36c | 8,269$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,292.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 20c | 8,234$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.6 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 38c | 7,725$2,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,762.5 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…d452backed Yes | 34c | 7,717$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,587.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc96…16e4backed Yes | 26c | 7,562$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 37c | 7,546$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,730.81 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked Yes | 26c | 6,903$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.13 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c17…83c8backed No | 57c | 6,459$3,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.31 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5943…2ef2backed No | 68c | 6,243$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.74 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf12c…dbf2backed Yes | 24c | 5,917$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Yes | 49c | 5,827$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865.18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…81f0backed Yes | 47c | 5,664$2,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,674.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 55c | 5,594$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.11 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 51c | 5,576$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.68 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 7c | 5,459$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.31 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 4c | 5,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…87f6backed Yes | 9c | 4,982$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 52c | 4,824$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…7c68backed Yes | 43c | 4,747$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.28 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 50c | 4,729$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.12 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 42c | 4,720$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.94 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe677…2a7abacked Yes | 42c | 4,615$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c09…dbfabacked Yes | 9c | 4,400$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -71%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 66c | 4,200$2,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c22…9b23backed Yes | 6c | 4,161$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.66 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 57c | 4,056$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.65 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 68c | 4,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53cb…fc91backed Yes | 59c | 4,000$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.14 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe861…e226backed Yes | 5c | 3,973$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -48%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 3,710$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…a0efbacked Yes | 64c | 3,500$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed No | 49c | 3,400$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…62efbacked Yes | 56c | 3,322$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked No | 51c | 3,257$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.98 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed Yes | 54c | 3,159$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.1 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 43c | 3,092$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.89 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed Yes | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 56c | 2,900$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.3 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 4c | 2,840$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.97 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1e…15b7backed Yes | 12c | 2,826$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 58c | 2,750$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.3 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 57c | 2,702$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.92 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 60c | 2,645$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.52 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e85…b85dbacked Yes | 32c | 2,641$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 13c | 2,550$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.78 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…102fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,540$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.59 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…b235backed Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d4…ae10backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…70c0backed Yes | 55c | 2,365$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 9c | 2,300$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.5 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 50c | 2,298$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.82 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 57c | 2,272$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed No | 61c | 2,160$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.8 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…9e8dbacked Yes | 28c | 2,115$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7188…b1d2backed Yes | 26c | 2,079$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277f…ed32backed Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…5610backed Yes | 4c | 1,991$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.23 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked No | 59c | 1,972$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.57 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed No | 55c | 1,943$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,931$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.54 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…3101backed Yes | 60c | 1,888$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…596cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,800$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f687backed Yes | 21c | 1,788$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f1…8dd4backed No | 74c | 1,750$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38e…272bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,707$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked No | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,619$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.75 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed No | 78c | 1,605$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.65 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.