TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x07d4…8991

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,373
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Macro Indicators, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Macro Indicators at 55 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT6291.3%8 W · 621 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-88.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 629 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.7
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.01
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.98
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,156.07
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.73
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.27
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.48
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.39
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$618.57
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.83
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$457.54
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.82
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$113
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.52
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.71
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.94
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.8
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Showing 25 of 629 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT12910.9%14 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-44.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 129 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$372
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$231.89
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$174.86
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.83
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.69
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75.94
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$122.59
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$122.63
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$365.69
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.99
Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.59
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$155
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$232
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$534.7
Trump out as President in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$160.04
Showing 25 of 129 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT964.2%4 W · 92 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.5
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.5
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.06
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+4,868%+$2,771.42
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.33
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.99
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.88
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.31
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.24
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.61
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.6
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.47
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45.82
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$123.47
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+1,106.9%+$641.97
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$74.63
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$81.65
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST905.6%5 W · 85 L+0.3wins0.00per pick5cpaid-82.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$117
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.5
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$68.91
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$84
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$274.44
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$306.49
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$207.12
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$216.99
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$290.96
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$259.28
Russian strike on Poland by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$79.64
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,156.17
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$165.2
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 25%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$294.54
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$468.6
NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$122
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$520.58
Will Trump say "Suit" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST626.5%4 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-76.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Phantom launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$94.83
Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$117.76
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$371.58
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$950.3
Rabby airdrop in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$160.14
270+ pump.fun graduated tokens on May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
270+ pump.fun graduated tokens on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.05
Will Barron launch a coin before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$229.33
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.99
Will El Salvador/Bukele launch a memecoin before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$228.78
Rabby airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$293.92
OpenSea airdrop before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$471.27
Will another country launch a memecoin in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$398.01
Will the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be less than $500m on Feb 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$147.81
Was Milei hacked?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$155.1
Will another Trump coin be first to reach $1b?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$739.64
No Trump coin reaches $1b?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,033Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,033
Will TRUMP reach $1b first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,401.6
Will Pump.fun launch a token in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,006.61
Jumper airdrop in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$332.14
Pump.fun airdrop in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$802Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$801.71
Will Enron launch a token in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$386.44
Berachain airdrop in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$303.99
Rabby airdrop in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$611.41
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT590%0 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.5
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.5
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.49
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.5
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.48
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.74
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.38
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.29
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.15
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.9
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.63
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT5315.1%8 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.3
Starmer out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$143.94
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+361.5%+$470
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$112.99
North Korea missile launch by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+4,445.5%+$1,955.95
Will Lazarus Chakwera win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.54
Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.81
North Korea missile test by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$151.61
North Korea missile test by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+1,011.1%+$182
North Korea missile test by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.66
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$77
Starmer out before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$215.87
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,071Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,070.9
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,057.5
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.14
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 68-70%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$233
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$919Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$919.06
Will Karol Nawrocki win by over 8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$197.37
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$168
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.95
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$5,733Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+430.3%+$24,667
Will George Simion win by 6–12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,370
Will George Simion win by over 18%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,184.71
Will George Simion win by 0–6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,030
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT474.3%2 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+286.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.61
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.21
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.98
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.39
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.63
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.76
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.6
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.52
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.8
Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.19
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.13
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.78
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.27
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.9
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.56
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.78
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.43
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.96
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT385.3%2 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid-75.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Percent" 20+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$84.4
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$178.71
ECB rate cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$119
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$206.99
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$190.5
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$82.32
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,485Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,485.02
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$71
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$193
Will Trump sue Powell by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.24
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$144.5
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$428.07
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$535.2
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$471.94
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$286.71
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$204.5
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$203.24
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$196
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$579.91
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT2615.4%4 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick9cpaid-40.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+60%+$75
Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$438.48
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.93
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+813.3%+$1,481.11
Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.59
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,724Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,724.43
Will France win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$567.21
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$285.23
Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.56
Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.91
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$354.53
Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$231
Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$982.01
Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$595.58
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.1
Will Trump walk out to 50 Cent's "Many Men"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$24
Taylor Swift #1 album for 9 weeks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$404.82
Taylor Swift #1 album for 10 or more weeks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$869.7
Taylor Swift #1 album for 8 weeks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$379.37
Taylor Swift #1 album for 7 weeks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$402.69
Taylor Swift #1 album for 6 weeks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$518.77
Taylor Swift #1 album for 5 weeks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$660.99
Taylor Swift #1 album for 4 weeks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2024, EDT+194.1%+$58.24
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT263.8%1 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-85.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Megaquake by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.78
Megaquake by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.5
Megaquake by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$56.63
Megaquake by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$86.97
Megaquake by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Megaquake by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.27
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Megaquake by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$158.5
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.1
Will a hurricane form by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Megaquake by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.52
Will global temperature increase by less than 0.90ºC in July 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$195.36
Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+273.5%+$1,610.99
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$46.34
Will the Palisades wildfire be contained by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$82.63
August temperature increase by less than 1.15°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$182.25
August temperature increase by between 1.15-1.19°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$789Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$788.74
2024 August hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,157Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,157.18
2024 July hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$893Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$893.32
Will June 2024 have a temperature increase of between 1.09°C and 1.15°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$570.56
Will June 2024 have a temperature increase of less than 1.09°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$392.52
Will June 2024 have a temperature increase of greater than 1.29°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$56.02
Will June 2024 have a temperature increase of between 1.16°C and 1.22°C?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$176.44
Will June 2024 have a temperature increase of between 1.23°C and 1.29°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2024, EDT1910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+69.5%+$205
Will another team win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$260
Will England win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$540.44
Will the Netherlands win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$420.1
Spain vs. France - Who will advance?backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2024, EDT+34.5%+$30.18
Will Turkey win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$176.8
Will Switzerland win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$143.29
Will Austria win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$158.86
Will Belgium win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$168.13
Will Denmark win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$152.89
Will Italy win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will Croatia win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$93.7
Will Serbia win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$75.53
Will Poland win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.11
Will Switzerland win Group A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$33
Will Turkiye win Group F?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$80
Will Poland win Group D?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Poland win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$40
Will Serbia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$21.86
All 19 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST160%0 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$361
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$215.2
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$55.59
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$369
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$202.3
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$83.91
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$174.17
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$132.97
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$158.51
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$234.05
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$120.5
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$120.4
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$117.5
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$184.3
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$165.32
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$292.03
All 16 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST160%0 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$231.5
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$36.39
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$54.5
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$217.66
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$67.32
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 62m and 67m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 67m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 57m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$62.37
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$91
Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Rege-Jean Page announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Damson Idris announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.85
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$694Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$693.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2024, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-71.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump posts 50-99 times on X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$25
Trump posts 30-39 times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$182.29
Trump posts 20-29 times on X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$177.32
Trump posts 40-49 times on X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Trump tweet 10 or more times this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$318.01
Will Trump tweet 9 times this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$62.54
Will Trump tweet 8 times this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$36.95
Will Trump tweet 2 times this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$24.6
Will Trump tweet 0 times this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2024, EDT+36.8%+$67.3
Will Trump post 21-25 times this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$200.17
Will Trump post 11-15 times this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,272Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,272.05
Will Trump post 16-20 times this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$338.89
Will Trump post 26-30 times this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$255.2
Will Elon tweet 115 or more times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$45.77
All 14 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-78.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Google (GOOGL) close at >$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$27.41
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $160 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $165 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56.1
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $200 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$92
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$447
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$348.05
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $190 before 2026??backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$193.5
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $185 before 2026??backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will NVIDIA dip to $160 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$135.99
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $170 before 2026??backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will NVIDIA dip to $172 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$26.56
NVIDIA largest company before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2024, EDT+200.9%+$70.1
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick2cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$29.73
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$28.49
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$43.65
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$43.65
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Dream" 3+ times during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Muslim" or "Jewish" during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Halal" during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Pizza" or "Hamburger" during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Fascism" or "Fascist" during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+1,199.2%+$161.21
All 11 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick5cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Negative GDP growth in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$349.35
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$570.3
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between -1% and -2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$137.74
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$242.66
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be less than 2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.98
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$685Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$684.66
Will U.S. GDP growth be less than -2% in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$329.02
Will U.S. GDP growth be between -1% and -2% in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$337.65
Will U.S. GDP growth be between 0% and -1% in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$1,277.37
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+400%+$240
All 10 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-54.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+38.5%+$431.41
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$111
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$517.64
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin all time high before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Ding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.