TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Denmark win the 2024 Euros?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,766
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,479

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,766 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07d4…8991backed Yes1c14,389$153 inLost-$152.891910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x578c…9661backed Yes1c10,180$111 inLost-$110.98742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes1c7,662$55 inLost-$54.5215328.8%44 W · 109 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd425…c024backed Yes1c7,543$100 inLost-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes1c5,861$80 inLost-$805923.7%14 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes1c5,277$71 inLost-$70.678230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Yes2c5,000$90 inLost-$903023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90db…fc55backed Yes2c3,714$69 inLost-$69.012015%3 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd568…ba70backed Yes1c3,000$37 inLost-$36.542722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5458…0456backed Yes2c2,500$50 inLost-$50911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x415c…3c94backed Yes1c2,000$20 inLost-$19.66026.7%16 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5256…0494backed Yes1c1,624$13 inLost-$12.99742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+43.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65f2…b488backed Yes1c1,600$12 inLost-$11.852611.5%3 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-7.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf99f…8742backed Yes2c1,111$20 inLost-$2060%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8d8…66a7backed Yes1c966.82$10 inLost-$10.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb18…c193backed Yes1c929.23$12 inLost-$11.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc8…6ef6backed Yes2c552.86$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.