Premier League · resolved market
Will Germany win the 2024 Euros?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb919ad74a714edb12eff8b9ac4014831d092e5a1db6018e2c2c73ef559ca1ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $334,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $272,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6af7…0ff1backed Yes | 17c | 14,446$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.73 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 17c | 14,163$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.95 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed Yes | 16c | 12,149$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.96 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…0726backed Yes | 20c | 8,146$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1cd8backed Yes | 18c | 6,700$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…c000backed Yes | 20c | 6,076$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.62 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 19c | 5,888$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.75 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…be8cbacked Yes | 18c | 5,474$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888f…5c80backed Yes | 19c | 5,162$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe93e…a835backed Yes | 19c | 5,135$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed No | 80c | 5,123$4,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.75 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a23…079fbacked Yes | 18c | 5,000$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Yes | 18c | 4,999$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.02 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3023…7398backed Yes | 16c | 4,734$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8216…6c5bbacked Yes | 17c | 4,675$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x690c…2af9backed Yes | 18c | 4,135$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6931…8fb5backed Yes | 19c | 4,028$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x759e…c0eabacked Yes | 16c | 3,650$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…1a5cbacked Yes | 17c | 2,861$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e05…5c8dbacked Yes | 21c | 2,851$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2d…f0d4backed Yes | 20c | 2,557$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…cd72backed Yes | 20c | 2,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaccb…11c5backed Yes | 18c | 2,274$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 15c | 2,086$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.35 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…eb2ebacked Yes | 16c | 2,035$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775a…623bbacked Yes | 17c | 2,024$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6699…4dfdbacked Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…025bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,844$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 17c | 1,757$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.62 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…fc55backed Yes | 17c | 1,649$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ae…d4ddbacked Yes | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Yes | 17c | 1,400$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x261f…3965backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 17c | 1,202$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.34 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Yes | 15c | 1,174$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.08 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5d…36a2backed Yes | 20c | 1,057$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b17…4ababacked Yes | 24c | 1,044$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc7…0b2ebacked Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…9663backed Yes | 24c | 916.67$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…a300backed Yes | 18c | 832.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe453…1864backed Yes | 25c | 814.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…00f3backed Yes | 18c | 796.91$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.94 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b03…34fcbacked Yes | 19c | 788.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea69…b3b5backed Yes | 16c | 770.19$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5792…d79cbacked Yes | 22c | 762.87$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf079…5e16backed Yes | 20c | 757$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…5d7cbacked Yes | 18c | 755.56$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb01…93c4backed Yes | 21c | 743.34$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a09…cdffbacked Yes | 17c | 734.5$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…3e81backed Yes | 18c | 704.03$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…38d9backed Yes | 20c | 681.05$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4d…6c0bbacked Yes | 15c | 670$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5458…0456backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b76…785cbacked Yes | 17c | 662.5$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7923…7e08backed Yes | 15c | 645.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7f…7215backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…c273backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ac…1317backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6953…bc71backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9c…07f6backed Yes | 16c | 618.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ab…d1b2backed Yes | 19c | 601.37$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb248…0c6dbacked Yes | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3da…c114backed Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aab…2153backed Yes | 18c | 583.06$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67b…c96ebacked Yes | 20c | 575$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcabb…7c38backed Yes | 21c | 537.48$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7423…8e0abacked Yes | 19c | 526.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cd…5634backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e1…df00backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c4…7776backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9b…968dbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0517…8a27backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ca…7094backed Yes | 19c | 525$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84a0…d1f0backed Yes | 19c | 516.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc7…7ca8backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6c…5140backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a54…64e0backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…67adbacked Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…2759backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…5bcfbacked Yes | 21c | 489.55$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…40dcbacked Yes | 21c | 485.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4046…9b9fbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fa…f111backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…013ebacked Yes | 20c | 450$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…5ff5backed Yes | 18c | 425$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…1b11backed Yes | 24c | 423.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Yes | 18c | 403.52$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8946…1b70backed Yes | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x078d…dd2bbacked Yes | 16c | 362.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…35c9backed Yes | 16c | 359.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +150%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507b…5170backed Yes | 4c | 352.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbafd…9b9dbacked Yes | 20c | 351.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ae…a21bbacked Yes | 18c | 351$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…e881backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c16…5c93backed Yes | 16c | 315.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06cb…fd30backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x289a…1909backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -49%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…3c92backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Germany win the 2024 Euros?this page
- Will Austria win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Belgium win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Denmark win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will England win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will France win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Italy win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Portugal win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Serbia win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?Yes won
- Will Switzerland win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Turkey win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will another team win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will the Netherlands win the 2024 Euros?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.