Premier League · resolved market
Will another team win the 2024 Euros?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc8b7df9968a91b1fabc7763911e6079a5c65ebcf1e7faef0091304bd7512dd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $293,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $293,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 3c | 57,887$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.92 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…d562backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 17,936$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Yes | 2c | 15,850$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 1c | 8,676$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.19 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c54…0c28backed Yes | 1c | 3,957$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…fc55backed Yes | 4c | 3,524$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.65 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d2…d76bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,384$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 1c | 2,737$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x359a…deacbacked Yes | 2c | 2,716$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 3c | 2,574$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f2…b488backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf70…55ccbacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…3a20backed Yes | 2c | 1,313$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…ba70backed Yes | 2c | 1,302$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b8…a6c2backed Yes | 2c | 1,128$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…9f34backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 1c | 995.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865e…3013backed Yes | 2c | 952.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1eb…dabbbacked Yes | 2c | 736.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Yes | 5c | 683.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…3956backed Yes | 3c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…be0dbacked Yes | 3c | 533.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…7867backed Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be0…0154backed Yes | 2c | 487.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed Yes | 3c | 466.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +8.2wins | +0.34per pick | 37cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…a6f1backed Yes | 4c | 289.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe32…8224backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3379…c283backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd049…d129backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will another team win the 2024 Euros?this page
- Will Austria win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Belgium win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Denmark win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will England win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will France win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Germany win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Italy win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Portugal win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Serbia win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?Yes won
- Will Switzerland win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Turkey win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will the Netherlands win the 2024 Euros?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.