TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8b36…9f34

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
178
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT13151.1%67 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 131 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monterrey Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gastonbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoebacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Open: Alexandra Eala vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$11.48
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cincinnati Open: Ugo Humbert vs Michael Zhengbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Cincinnati Open: Elvina Kalieva vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$58.24
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paulbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.47
Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
National Bank Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Hamburg European Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Nastasja Schunkbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Estoril Open: Titouan Droguet vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Iasi Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Elena Pridankinabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$19.58
Swiss Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+73%+$10.95
Swiss Open, Qualification: Timofey Skatov vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 131 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick38cpaid+57.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+218.2%+$32.72
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$21.05
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$44.49
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+79.2%+$15.84
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+212.5%+$48.88
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+300%+$30
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-62.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+51.5%+$27.3
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Coltsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.7
Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$13.1
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sky win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+40.9%+$7.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - BC Game Masters Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+56.3%+$10.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will another team win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+302.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+302.7%+$60.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$23.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$21.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.