CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - BC Game Masters Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb20b469ed2364e9d46ebd8ccaf6d7cad32a46015e7e878aa25927262a2441b39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,560 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b93…5a06backed Nemiga | 57c | 2,610$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…3e3bbacked MOUZ NXT | 43c | 2,610$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…8bddbacked MOUZ NXT | 44c | 2,588$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6c…1f0ebacked Nemiga | 56c | 2,588$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc571…e938backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 2,587$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6d…e1d8backed Nemiga | 56c | 2,587$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3469…11bcbacked MOUZ NXT | 16c | 1,326$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MOUZ NXT | 2c | 675.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked MOUZ NXT | 23c | 658.94$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.15 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed MOUZ NXT | 45c | 615.99$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.2 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed MOUZ NXT | 48c | 529$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.92 | 465 | 45.6%212 W · 253 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Nemiga | 77c | 445.77$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.19 | 353 | 42.8%151 W · 202 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked MOUZ NXT | 49c | 406.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Nemiga | 55c | 387.27$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.27 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga | 76c | 367.17$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.12 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcb…e8c3backed MOUZ NXT | 16c | 365$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Nemiga | 57c | 327.92$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Nemiga | 56c | 321.2$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.33 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nemiga | 56c | 302$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.39 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Nemiga | 52c | 265.42$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed MOUZ NXT | 45c | 236$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.04 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed MOUZ NXT | 43c | 235.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.48 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed MOUZ NXT | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 218.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Nemiga | 55c | 212.42$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.1 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 24c | 211.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nemiga | 49c | 202.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nemiga | 54c | 198.44$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.28 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ NXT | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Nemiga | 55c | 146.37$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.55 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…f6c9backed Nemiga | 55c | 108.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed MOUZ NXT | 15c | 104$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 700 | 32%224 W · 476 L | -45.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Nemiga | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nemiga | 57c | 98.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…359bbacked Nemiga | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked MOUZ NXT | 23c | 90.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked MOUZ NXT | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0c…e795backed Nemiga | 57c | 85.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a42…4930backed MOUZ NXT | 37c | 81.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed MOUZ NXT | 25c | 81.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Nemiga | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af9…5bf2backed Nemiga | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab8d…6fe9backed MOUZ NXT | 20c | 63.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Nemiga | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Nemiga | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…35c6backed Nemiga | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 218 | 55%120 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x451c…4274backed Nemiga | 77c | 42.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed MOUZ NXT | 43c | 38.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ NXT | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bb…3282backed Nemiga | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdeb…8cd1backed Nemiga | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Nemiga | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Nemiga | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…9f34backed MOUZ NXT | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Nemiga | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda92…8089backed Nemiga | 58c | 19.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - BC Game Masters Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 WinnerNemiga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.